Football · China Division 1 · 25/10, 12:00

Prediction: Wuxi Wugo vs Shaanxi Union

Team pages: Wuxi Wugo · Shaanxi Union

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Wuxi Wugo1.17

Shaanxi Union1.91

1X2

22% 24% 54%

Wuxi Wugo Draw Shaanxi Union

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Wuxi Wugo 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLWDWL

Shaanxi Union 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Wuxi Wugo 0–1 Shaanxi Union (1 last)

Shaanxi Union2-1Wuxi Wugo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wuxi Wugo 1468 · Shaanxi Union 1564

	Wuxi Wugo	Draw	Shaanxi Union
Our model	22%	24%	54%
Market	22%	24%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shaanxi Union (rating 1468 vs 1564).
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wuxi Wugo	Shaanxi Union
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	2.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.5	1.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.00

X3.80

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.93

2 (-0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.62 ★
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.69

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:07 +9’	4.00	3.80	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:14 +2’	4.48	3.62	1.67
01:26 +56’	4.62▲	3.71▲	1.69▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuxi Wugo 0–0–1 Shaanxi Union

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 China Division 1	Shaanxi Union	2-1 HT 0-0	Wuxi Wugo

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	27	18	6	3	55	26	60
2	Nantong Zhiyun	27	14	9	4	36	20	51
3	Guangxi Hengchen	27	13	8	6	43	30	47
4	Shenzhen Juniors	27	12	10	5	42	31	46
5	Shaanxi Union	27	13	6	8	51	28	45
6	Yanbian Longding	27	10	9	8	39	29	39
7	Wuxi Wugo	27	10	6	11	41	33	36
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	27	9	8	10	23	26	35
9	Changchun Yatai	27	10	6	11	41	44	32
10	Ningbo Professional FC	27	9	7	11	28	32	31
11	Dalian K'un City	27	7	10	10	32	39	31
12	Suzhou Dongwu	27	7	11	9	31	36	29
13	Dingnan Ganlian FC	27	5	12	10	38	49	27
14	Nanjing City	27	6	7	14	22	37	25
15	Meizhou Hakka	27	7	4	16	25	54	16
16	Foshan Nanshi	27	3	7	17	26	59	16

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wuxi Wugo	Shaanxi Union
Dingnan Ganlian FC	0-2 L	2-1 W
Suzhou Dongwu	2-2 D	2-2 D
Ningbo Professional FC	1-0 W	0-1 L
Nanjing City	3-0 W	4-1 W
Nantong Zhiyun	1-3 L	1-4 L
Yanbian Longding	2-0 W	3-1 W
Dalian K'un City	1-2 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wuxi Wugo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
10/10	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-0	3-0	1	0	W
06/10	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-1	2-2	6	3	D
29/09	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
25/09	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
19/09	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
13/09	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-1	1-3	1	3	L
05/09	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
29/08	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
22/08	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-1	1-2	3	4	L

Shaanxi Union

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	3-0	4-0	1	4	W
11/10	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-0	5-1	6	4	W
07/10	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-1	4-1	7	3	W
27/09	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	2-0	3-0	4	2	W
19/09	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-1	2-2	3	4	D
12/09	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
05/09	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	2-1	8	1	W
29/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
22/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	1-3	1-4	2	5	L
14/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	2-1	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wuxi Wugo vs Shaanxi Union?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shaanxi Union win (54%). Probabilities: Wuxi Wugo 22%, draw 24%, Shaanxi Union 54%.

How many goals are expected in Wuxi Wugo vs Shaanxi Union?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Wuxi Wugo 1.17 · Shaanxi Union 1.91), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wuxi Wugo vs Shaanxi Union?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.