Football · China Division 1 · 25/10, 12:30

Prediction: Guangdong GZ-Power vs Suzhou Dongwu

Team pages: Guangdong GZ-Power · Suzhou Dongwu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Guangdong GZ-Power2.24

Suzhou Dongwu1.22

1X2

59% 23% 18%

Guangdong GZ-Power Draw Suzhou Dongwu

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Guangdong GZ-Power 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDWWWL

Suzhou Dongwu 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWDDDD

Head-to-head

Guangdong GZ-Power 2–1–0 Suzhou Dongwu (3 last)

Suzhou Dongwu2-2Guangdong GZ-Power
Suzhou Dongwu0-1Guangdong GZ-Power
Guangdong GZ-Power3-2Suzhou Dongwu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guangdong GZ-Power 1580 · Suzhou Dongwu 1541

	Guangdong GZ-Power	Draw	Suzhou Dongwu
Our model	60%	21%	19%
Market	58%	24%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Guangdong GZ-Power: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guangdong GZ-Power	Suzhou Dongwu
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.4	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.80

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Pinn 1.63 ★
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.93
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:12 +5’	1.53	3.80	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:13 +4’	1.50	4.06	5.37
01:26 +56’	1.51▲	4.18▲	5.59▲
04:31 +50’	1.63▲	3.93▼	4.78▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangdong GZ-Power 2–1–0 Suzhou Dongwu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	2-2 HT 0-0	Guangdong GZ-Power
18/10/25 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	0-1 HT 0-0	Guangdong GZ-Power
15/06/25 China Division 1	Guangdong GZ-Power	3-2 HT 0-0	Suzhou Dongwu

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	27	18	6	3	55	26	60
2	Nantong Zhiyun	27	14	9	4	36	20	51
3	Guangxi Hengchen	27	13	8	6	43	30	47
4	Shenzhen Juniors	27	12	10	5	42	31	46
5	Shaanxi Union	27	13	6	8	51	28	45
6	Yanbian Longding	27	10	9	8	39	29	39
7	Wuxi Wugo	27	10	6	11	41	33	36
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	27	9	8	10	23	26	35
9	Changchun Yatai	27	10	6	11	41	44	32
10	Ningbo Professional FC	27	9	7	11	28	32	31
11	Dalian K'un City	27	7	10	10	32	39	31
12	Suzhou Dongwu	27	7	11	9	31	36	29
13	Dingnan Ganlian FC	27	5	12	10	38	49	27
14	Nanjing City	27	6	7	14	22	37	25
15	Meizhou Hakka	27	7	4	16	25	54	16
16	Foshan Nanshi	27	3	7	17	26	59	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guangdong GZ-Power	Suzhou Dongwu
Shaanxi Union	0-4 L	2-2 D
Dingnan Ganlian FC	3-1 W	4-3 W
Nantong Zhiyun	1-1 D	0-0 D
Changchun Yatai	3-0 W	2-1 W
Wuxi Wugo	3-0 W	2-2 D
Guangxi Hengchen	2-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Guangdong GZ-Power (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guangdong GZ-Power

WWWWDDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-3	0-4	3	4	L
11/10	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	1-1	3-1	4	6	W
07/10	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	1-0	4-1	7	4	W
18/09	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
12/09	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
05/09	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
30/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	2-0	3-0	7	6	W
22/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	2-0	5-1	3	2	W
15/08	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	3-0	3-0	2	1	W
09/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	2-0	7	5	W

Suzhou Dongwu

WDDWWWDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
10/10	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
06/10	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
19/09	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-2	2-2	7	4	D
12/09	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	3-2	1	4	W
06/09	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
29/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	1-2	4-3	6	1	W
22/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-2	3-3	3	2	D
16/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
08/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	2-1	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guangdong GZ-Power vs Suzhou Dongwu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangdong GZ-Power win (59%). Probabilities: Guangdong GZ-Power 59%, draw 23%, Suzhou Dongwu 18%.

How many goals are expected in Guangdong GZ-Power vs Suzhou Dongwu?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Guangdong GZ-Power 2.24 · Suzhou Dongwu 1.22), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Guangdong GZ-Power vs Suzhou Dongwu?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.