Football · China Division 1 · 24/10, 13:30

Prediction: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Ningbo Professional FC

Team pages: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC · Ningbo Professional FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.89Total

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC1.13

Ningbo Professional FC0.76

1X2

44% 32% 24%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC Draw Ningbo Professional FC

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDWWDL

Ningbo Professional FC 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLWLLLDD

Head-to-head

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 2–3–1 Ningbo Professional FC (6 last)

Ningbo Professional FC2-1Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC0-0Ningbo Professional FC
Ningbo Professional FC0-2Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Ningbo Professional FC0-1Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC0-0Ningbo Professional FC
Ningbo Professional FC1-1Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1559 · Ningbo Professional FC 1459

	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	Draw	Ningbo Professional FC
Our model	43%	34%	23%
Market	45%	30%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 1.89 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC (rating 1559 vs 1459).
H2H favours Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	Ningbo Professional FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.1	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	0/80/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.3	1.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.4	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.00

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.05

2 (+0.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.33 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:06 +2’	2.00	3.00	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:42 +28’	2.33	2.86	3.34

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 2–3–1 Ningbo Professional FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
26/07/25 China Division 1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Ningbo Professional FC
05/04/25 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
26/10/24 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
15/06/24 China Division 1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Ningbo Professional FC
15/10/23 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	27	18	6	3	55	26	60
2	Nantong Zhiyun	27	14	9	4	36	20	51
3	Guangxi Hengchen	27	13	8	6	43	30	47
4	Shenzhen Juniors	27	12	10	5	42	31	46
5	Shaanxi Union	27	13	6	8	51	28	45
6	Yanbian Longding	27	10	9	8	39	29	39
7	Wuxi Wugo	27	10	6	11	41	33	36
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	27	9	8	10	23	26	35
9	Changchun Yatai	27	10	6	11	41	44	32
10	Ningbo Professional FC	27	9	7	11	28	32	31
11	Dalian K'un City	27	7	10	10	32	39	31
12	Suzhou Dongwu	27	7	11	9	31	36	29
13	Dingnan Ganlian FC	27	5	12	10	38	49	27
14	Nanjing City	27	6	7	14	22	37	25
15	Meizhou Hakka	27	7	4	16	25	54	16
16	Foshan Nanshi	27	3	7	17	26	59	16

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	Ningbo Professional FC
Nanjing City	0-1 L	0-0 D
Suzhou Dongwu	0-0 D	1-1 D
Dalian K'un City	1-0 W	0-1 L
Meizhou Hakka	3-1 W	1-1 D
Shenzhen Juniors	0-0 D	0-0 D
Wuxi Wugo	2-0 W	0-1 L
Shaanxi Union	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
10/10	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
06/10	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/09	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
13/09	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
06/09	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
29/08	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	2-0	2-0	7	3	W
22/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	2-1	2-1	2	5	W
16/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-0	2-1	0	6	W
08/08	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-0	2-1	3	6	W

Ningbo Professional FC

DLDLWLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
11/10	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
06/10	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
29/09	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
18/09	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
12/09	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
05/09	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
30/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
22/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-1	2-3	7	5	L
16/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Ningbo Professional FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC win (44%). Probabilities: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 44%, draw 32%, Ningbo Professional FC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Ningbo Professional FC?

The model expects 1.89 goals (Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1.13 · Ningbo Professional FC 0.76), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Ningbo Professional FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.