Football · China Division 1 · 31/10, 07:30

Prediction: Foshan Nanshi vs Ningbo Professional FC

Team pages: Foshan Nanshi · Ningbo Professional FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

Foshan Nanshi1.05

Ningbo Professional FC1.54

1X2

25% 27% 48%

Foshan Nanshi Draw Ningbo Professional FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Foshan Nanshi 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLDWLLL

Ningbo Professional FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLLDDL

Head-to-head

Foshan Nanshi 2–1–3 Ningbo Professional FC (6 last)

Ningbo Professional FC1-0Foshan Nanshi
Foshan Nanshi2-1Ningbo Professional FC
Ningbo Professional FC2-1Foshan Nanshi
Ningbo Professional FC0-0Foshan Nanshi
Foshan Nanshi1-2Ningbo Professional FC
Foshan Nanshi1-0Ningbo Professional FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Foshan Nanshi 1410 · Ningbo Professional FC 1452

	Foshan Nanshi	Draw	Ningbo Professional FC
Our model	25%	28%	47%
Market	26%	26%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ningbo Professional FC (rating 1410 vs 1452).
H2H favours Ningbo Professional FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Foshan Nanshi	Ningbo Professional FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.9	0.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1.6	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/20/80%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.7	1.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.40

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 4.29 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.55
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
06:53 +14’	3.50	3.40	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:03 +4’	4.29	3.55	1.71

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Foshan Nanshi 2–1–3 Ningbo Professional FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/07/26 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Foshan Nanshi
25/10/25 China Division 1	Foshan Nanshi	2-1 HT 1-0	Ningbo Professional FC
22/06/25 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	2-1 HT 2-1	Foshan Nanshi
13/10/24 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Foshan Nanshi
02/06/24 China Division 1	Foshan Nanshi	1-2 HT 0-1	Ningbo Professional FC
22/10/23 China Division 1	Foshan Nanshi	1-0 HT 0-0	Ningbo Professional FC

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	28	18	7	3	56	27	61
2	Nantong Zhiyun	28	15	9	4	37	20	54
3	Guangxi Hengchen	28	13	8	7	45	33	47
4	Shenzhen Juniors	28	12	10	6	42	32	46
5	Shaanxi Union	28	13	6	9	51	30	45
6	Yanbian Longding	28	11	9	8	41	30	42
7	Wuxi Wugo	28	11	6	11	43	33	39
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	28	10	8	10	26	28	38
9	Changchun Yatai	28	11	6	11	45	45	35
10	Dalian K'un City	28	8	10	10	35	41	34
11	Ningbo Professional FC	28	9	7	12	30	35	31
12	Suzhou Dongwu	28	7	12	9	32	37	30
13	Nanjing City	28	7	7	14	27	39	28
14	Dingnan Ganlian FC	28	5	12	11	39	51	27
15	Meizhou Hakka	28	7	4	17	26	58	16
16	Foshan Nanshi	28	3	7	18	28	64	16

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Foshan Nanshi	Ningbo Professional FC
Nanjing City	2-5 L	0-0 D
Yanbian Longding	0-5 L	2-3 L
Shaanxi Union	1-5 L	1-0 W
Suzhou Dongwu	2-3 L	1-1 D
Dalian K'un City	0-0 D	0-1 L
Changchun Yatai	0-6 L	0-2 L
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	1-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 6 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Ningbo Professional FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Foshan Nanshi

LLLDLDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-1	2-5	3	1	L
17/10	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-2	0-5	4	1	L
11/10	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-2	1-5	5	4	L
07/10	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
19/09	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
12/09	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-1	2-3	6	4	L
05/09	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
29/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-2	1-2	3	4	L
23/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-5	0-6	4	0	L
16/08	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-2	1-2	10	6	L

Ningbo Professional FC

LDLWLLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-3	2-3	6	3	L
17/10	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
11/10	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
06/10	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
29/09	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
18/09	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
12/09	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
05/09	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
30/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
22/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-1	2-3	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Foshan Nanshi vs Ningbo Professional FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ningbo Professional FC win (48%). Probabilities: Foshan Nanshi 25%, draw 27%, Ningbo Professional FC 48%.

How many goals are expected in Foshan Nanshi vs Ningbo Professional FC?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Foshan Nanshi 1.05 · Ningbo Professional FC 1.54), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Foshan Nanshi vs Ningbo Professional FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.