Football · China Division 1 · 07/11, 07:30

Prediction: Ningbo Professional FC vs Dingnan Ganlian FC

Team pages: Ningbo Professional FC · Dingnan Ganlian FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.32Total

Ningbo Professional FC1.34

Dingnan Ganlian FC0.98

1X2

44% 29% 27%

Ningbo Professional FC Draw Dingnan Ganlian FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Ningbo Professional FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLDDLW

Dingnan Ganlian FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDDLWLD

Head-to-head

Ningbo Professional FC 3–2–1 Dingnan Ganlian FC (6 last)

Dingnan Ganlian FC0-1Ningbo Professional FC
Ningbo Professional FC0-2Dingnan Ganlian FC
Dingnan Ganlian FC0-1Ningbo Professional FC
Ningbo Professional FC0-0Dingnan Ganlian FC
Dingnan Ganlian FC1-1Ningbo Professional FC
Ningbo Professional FC1-0Dingnan Ganlian FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ningbo Professional FC 1473 · Dingnan Ganlian FC 1436

	Ningbo Professional FC	Draw	Dingnan Ganlian FC
Our model	43%	30%	26%
Market	45%	28%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ningbo Professional FC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ningbo Professional FC	Dingnan Ganlian FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	2.5 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.25

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:02 +7’	2.00	3.25	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ningbo Professional FC 3–2–1 Dingnan Ganlian FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 China Division 1	Dingnan Ganlian FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Ningbo Professional FC
20/09/25 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Dingnan Ganlian FC
10/05/25 China Division 1	Dingnan Ganlian FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Ningbo Professional FC
17/09/24 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Dingnan Ganlian FC
28/04/24 China Division 1	Dingnan Ganlian FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Ningbo Professional FC
10/09/23 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Dingnan Ganlian FC

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	29	18	8	3	57	28	62
2	Nantong Zhiyun	29	15	9	5	37	21	54
3	Shaanxi Union	29	14	6	9	53	30	48
4	Guangxi Hengchen	29	13	8	8	46	35	47
5	Shenzhen Juniors	29	12	11	6	42	32	47
6	Yanbian Longding	29	12	9	8	42	30	45
7	Wuxi Wugo	29	12	6	11	45	34	42
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	29	10	9	10	27	29	39
9	Changchun Yatai	29	12	6	11	46	45	38
10	Ningbo Professional FC	29	10	7	12	34	36	34
11	Dalian K'un City	29	8	10	11	35	43	34
12	Nanjing City	29	8	7	14	29	39	31
13	Suzhou Dongwu	29	7	12	10	32	38	30
14	Dingnan Ganlian FC	29	5	13	11	39	51	28
15	Meizhou Hakka	29	7	4	18	26	60	16
16	Foshan Nanshi	29	3	7	19	29	68	16

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ningbo Professional FC	Dingnan Ganlian FC
Foshan Nanshi	4-1 W	1-1 D
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	2-3 L	1-2 L
Suzhou Dongwu	1-1 D	3-4 L
Wuxi Wugo	0-1 L	2-0 W
Shaanxi Union	1-0 W	1-2 L
Changchun Yatai	0-2 L	0-1 L
Meizhou Hakka	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Ningbo Professional FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ningbo Professional FC

DLWLLLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-1	4-1	5	0	W
24/10	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-3	2-3	6	3	L
17/10	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
11/10	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
06/10	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
29/09	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
18/09	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
12/09	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
05/09	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
30/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-1	1-1	6	5	D

Dingnan Ganlian FC

LLLLDDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
25/10	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-0	1-2	7	4	L
17/10	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-0	2-0	7	4	W
11/10	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	1-1	1-3	2	6	L
06/10	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
19/09	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
12/09	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
05/09	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-0	1-2	5	1	L
29/08	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-1	3-4	3	1	L
22/08	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	1-2	1-2	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ningbo Professional FC vs Dingnan Ganlian FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ningbo Professional FC win (44%). Probabilities: Ningbo Professional FC 44%, draw 29%, Dingnan Ganlian FC 27%.

How many goals are expected in Ningbo Professional FC vs Dingnan Ganlian FC?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Ningbo Professional FC 1.34 · Dingnan Ganlian FC 0.98), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ningbo Professional FC vs Dingnan Ganlian FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.