Football · China Division 1 · 07/11, 07:30

Prediction: Shenzhen Juniors vs Suzhou Dongwu

Team pages: Shenzhen Juniors · Suzhou Dongwu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Shenzhen Juniors1.65

Suzhou Dongwu0.98

1X2

52% 27% 21%

Shenzhen Juniors Draw Suzhou Dongwu

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Shenzhen Juniors 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDDLDDLD

Suzhou Dongwu 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWDDDDDL

Head-to-head

Shenzhen Juniors 0–2–1 Suzhou Dongwu (3 last)

Suzhou Dongwu0-0Shenzhen Juniors
Shenzhen Juniors0-2Suzhou Dongwu
Suzhou Dongwu0-0Shenzhen Juniors

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shenzhen Juniors 1510 · Suzhou Dongwu 1518

	Shenzhen Juniors	Draw	Suzhou Dongwu
Our model	52%	27%	21%
Market	52%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shenzhen Juniors	Suzhou Dongwu
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.1	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.5	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.40

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:02 +7’	1.73	3.40	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shenzhen Juniors 0–2–1 Suzhou Dongwu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/07/26 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	0-0 HT 0-0	Shenzhen Juniors
25/10/25 China Division 1	Shenzhen Juniors	0-2 HT 0-1	Suzhou Dongwu
22/06/25 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	0-0 HT 0-0	Shenzhen Juniors

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	29	18	8	3	57	28	62
2	Nantong Zhiyun	29	15	9	5	37	21	54
3	Shaanxi Union	29	14	6	9	53	30	48
4	Guangxi Hengchen	29	13	8	8	46	35	47
5	Shenzhen Juniors	29	12	11	6	42	32	47
6	Yanbian Longding	29	12	9	8	42	30	45
7	Wuxi Wugo	29	12	6	11	45	34	42
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	29	10	9	10	27	29	39
9	Changchun Yatai	29	12	6	11	46	45	38
10	Ningbo Professional FC	29	10	7	12	34	36	34
11	Dalian K'un City	29	8	10	11	35	43	34
12	Nanjing City	29	8	7	14	29	39	31
13	Suzhou Dongwu	29	7	12	10	32	38	30
14	Dingnan Ganlian FC	29	5	13	11	39	51	28
15	Meizhou Hakka	29	7	4	18	26	60	16
16	Foshan Nanshi	29	3	7	19	29	68	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shenzhen Juniors	Suzhou Dongwu
Dingnan Ganlian FC	0-0 D	4-3 W
Guangxi Hengchen	1-1 D	3-3 D
Guangdong GZ-Power	1-4 L	1-1 D
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	0-0 D	0-0 D
Foshan Nanshi	2-1 W	3-2 W
Nanjing City	3-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Suzhou Dongwu (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shenzhen Juniors

WWWDDLDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
24/10	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
17/10	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
11/10	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
07/10	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-1	1-4	4	4	L
19/09	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	1-1	11	6	D
13/09	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
06/09	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-0	5-1	8	2	W
29/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
23/08	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	3-1	7	8	W

Suzhou Dongwu

DWWWDDDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
25/10	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
17/10	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
10/10	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
06/10	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
19/09	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-2	2-2	7	4	D
12/09	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	3-2	1	4	W
06/09	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
29/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	1-2	4-3	6	1	W
22/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-2	3-3	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shenzhen Juniors vs Suzhou Dongwu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shenzhen Juniors win (52%). Probabilities: Shenzhen Juniors 52%, draw 27%, Suzhou Dongwu 21%.

How many goals are expected in Shenzhen Juniors vs Suzhou Dongwu?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Shenzhen Juniors 1.65 · Suzhou Dongwu 0.98), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Shenzhen Juniors vs Suzhou Dongwu?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.