Football · China Division 1 · 31/10, 07:30

Prediction: Guangxi Hengchen vs Wuxi Wugo

Team pages: Guangxi Hengchen · Wuxi Wugo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Guangxi Hengchen1.93

Wuxi Wugo0.8

1X2

63% 22% 14%

Guangxi Hengchen Draw Wuxi Wugo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Guangxi Hengchen 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWLDDL

Wuxi Wugo 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWDWLW

Head-to-head

Guangxi Hengchen 1–2 Wuxi Wugo (3 last)

Wuxi Wugo0-1Guangxi Hengchen
Guangxi Hengchen1-2Wuxi Wugo
Wuxi Wugo1-0Guangxi Hengchen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guangxi Hengchen 1517 · Wuxi Wugo 1491

	Guangxi Hengchen	Draw	Wuxi Wugo
Our model	63%	23%	14%
Market	64%	21%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Wuxi Wugo: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guangxi Hengchen	Wuxi Wugo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.5	1.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.2	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.20

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Pinn 1.49 ★
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
06:03 +3’	1.40	4.20	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:56 +11’	1.49	4.04	5.54

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangxi Hengchen 1–0–2 Wuxi Wugo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/09/26 China Division 1	Wuxi Wugo	0-1 HT 0-0	Guangxi Hengchen
26/10/25 China Division 2	Guangxi Hengchen	1-2 HT 0-1	Wuxi Wugo
20/09/25 China Division 2	Wuxi Wugo	1-0 HT 1-0	Guangxi Hengchen

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	28	18	7	3	56	27	61
2	Nantong Zhiyun	28	15	9	4	37	20	54
3	Guangxi Hengchen	28	13	8	7	45	33	47
4	Shenzhen Juniors	28	12	10	6	42	32	46
5	Shaanxi Union	28	13	6	9	51	30	45
6	Yanbian Longding	28	11	9	8	41	30	42
7	Wuxi Wugo	28	11	6	11	43	33	39
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	28	10	8	10	26	28	38
9	Changchun Yatai	28	11	6	11	45	45	35
10	Dalian K'un City	28	8	10	10	35	41	34
11	Ningbo Professional FC	28	9	7	12	30	35	31
12	Suzhou Dongwu	28	7	12	9	32	37	30
13	Nanjing City	28	7	7	14	27	39	28
14	Dingnan Ganlian FC	28	5	12	11	39	51	27
15	Meizhou Hakka	28	7	4	17	26	58	16
16	Foshan Nanshi	28	3	7	18	28	64	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guangxi Hengchen	Wuxi Wugo
Nantong Zhiyun	1-0 W	1-3 L
Yanbian Longding	2-1 W	2-0 W
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	0-1 L	0-2 L
Nanjing City	2-0 W	3-0 W
Suzhou Dongwu	3-3 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guangxi Hengchen

DWLWWWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-2	2-3	9	4	L
17/10	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
11/10	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
07/10	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
25/09	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-0	1-0	8	0	W
18/09	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
12/09	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
06/09	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	0-1	9	3	L
29/08	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
22/08	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-0	3-3	9	2	D

Wuxi Wugo

LWLWLWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
17/10	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
10/10	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-0	3-0	1	0	W
06/10	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-1	2-2	6	3	D
29/09	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
25/09	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
19/09	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
13/09	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-1	1-3	1	3	L
05/09	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
29/08	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-2	0-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guangxi Hengchen vs Wuxi Wugo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangxi Hengchen win (63%). Probabilities: Guangxi Hengchen 63%, draw 22%, Wuxi Wugo 14%.

How many goals are expected in Guangxi Hengchen vs Wuxi Wugo?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Guangxi Hengchen 1.93 · Wuxi Wugo 0.8), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Guangxi Hengchen vs Wuxi Wugo?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.