Prediction: Ningbo Professional FC vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Expected goals: 1.95 (Ningbo Professional FC 1.29 · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 0.65). The model gives 52% home, 28% draw, 19% away. Under 2.25 goals (57%) and not both to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Ningbo Professional FC sits at 6-3-1 (W-D-L), while Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC arrives on a 1-4-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Ningbo Professional FC and 3 for Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC, with 3 draws.
| Ningbo Professional FC | Draw | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 32% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ningbo Professional FC (rating 1560 vs 1426).
- H2H favours Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ningbo Professional FC | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 2.7 | 0.8 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ningbo Professional FC 0–3–3 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/25 China Division 1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ningbo Professional FC |
| 05/04/25 China Division 1 | Ningbo Professional FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
| 26/10/24 China Division 1 | Ningbo Professional FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
| 15/06/24 China Division 1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ningbo Professional FC |
| 15/10/23 China Division 1 | Ningbo Professional FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
| 28/06/23 China Division 1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Ningbo Professional FC |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Guangxi Hengchen | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Yanbian Longding | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 18 |
| 6 | Wuxi Wugo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
| 8 | Ningbo Professional FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
| 9 | Nanjing City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | Shaanxi Union | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 11 | Dalian K'un City | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 13 |
| 12 | Changchun Yatai | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 12 |
| 13 | Meizhou Hakka | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 11 |
| 14 | Foshan Nanshi | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 10 |
| 15 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 9 |
| 16 | Suzhou Dongwu | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ningbo Professional FC | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
|---|---|---|
| Suzhou Dongwu | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Nanjing City | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Dalian K'un City | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Meizhou Hakka | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ningbo Professional FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ningbo Professional FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 23/05 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Liaocheng Legend China FA Cup |
3-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 03/05 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
3-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Shanghai Shenhua China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Guizhou Xufengtang China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ningbo Professional FC vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ningbo Professional FC win (52%). Probabilities: Ningbo Professional FC 52%, draw 28%, Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 19%.
How many goals are expected in Ningbo Professional FC vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC?
The model expects 1.95 goals (Ningbo Professional FC 1.29 · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 0.65), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ningbo Professional FC vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.