Football · China Division 1 · 04/07, 13:00

Prediction: Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangdong GZ-Power

Expected goals: 2.62 (Suzhou Dongwu 0.84 · Guangdong GZ-Power 1.78). The model gives 16% home, 25% draw, 59% away. Under 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Suzhou Dongwu is 2-2-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Guangdong GZ-Power 6-2-2 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Suzhou Dongwu won 0 and Guangdong GZ-Power 2.

59%2
16% 25% 59%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Suzhou Dongwu 1423 · Guangdong GZ-Power 1556
Suzhou DongwuDrawGuangdong GZ-Power
Our model16%25%59%
Market16%25%59%
Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.62Suzhou Dongwu 0.84 · Guangdong GZ-Power 1.78
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guangdong GZ-Power (rating 1423 vs 1556).
  • H2H favours Guangdong GZ-Power: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Suzhou DongwuGuangdong GZ-Power
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.61.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.10.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/10/70%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.72 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 04 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Suzhou Dongwu 002 Guangdong GZ-Power

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/10/25
China Division 1
Suzhou Dongwu0-1
HT 0-0
Guangdong GZ-Power
15/06/25
China Division 1
Guangdong GZ-Power3-2
HT 0-0
Suzhou Dongwu

Standings · China Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 12822 231226
2 Shenzhen Juniors 12723 231523
3 Nantong Zhiyun 12642 12922
4 Guangxi Hengchen 12543 161219
5 Yanbian Longding 12462 151118
6 Wuxi Wugo 12453 201417
7 Dingnan Ganlian FC 12372 181816
8 Ningbo Professional FC 12534 161515
9 Nanjing City 12435 111215
10 Shaanxi Union 11344 13813
11 Dalian K'un City 11344 161713
12 Changchun Yatai 12516 172112
13 Meizhou Hakka 12426 122211
14 Foshan Nanshi 12246 142310
15 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 12237 6149
16 Suzhou Dongwu 12228 8175

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSuzhou DongwuGuangdong GZ-Power
Shaanxi Union 0-3 L 2-1 W
Dingnan Jiangxi United 0-1 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Guangdong GZ-Power (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Suzhou Dongwu

WLLDWLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Ningbo Professional FC
China Division 1
0-2 1-2 104 L
21/06 Yunnan Yukun
China FA Cup
2-3 2-4 42 L
13/06 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
China Division 1
0-1 1-1 05 D
30/05 Wuxi Wugo
China Division 1
1-2 1-3 54 L
24/05 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
0-1 0-3 53 L
16/05 Yulin Mobei Miners
China FA Cup
1-0 2-0 43 W
10/05 Foshan Nanshi
China Division 1
0-0 1-1 53 D
03/05 Nanjing City
China Division 1
0-1 0-1 68 L
25/04 Dingnan Jiangxi United
China Division 1
0-1 0-1 68 L
18/04 Guangxi Hengchen
China Division 1
1-0 1-0 21 W

Guangdong GZ-Power

WWWDWLDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
1-1 2-1 122 W
19/06 Beijing Guoan
China FA Cup
0-1 1-2 15 L
13/06 Dingnan Jiangxi United
China Division 1
2-0 3-1 33 W
29/05 Shenzhen Juniors
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 45 D
24/05 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
0-2 3-4 115 L
17/05 Wuhan Lianzhen
China FA Cup
0-0 1-0 23 W
10/05 Dalian K'un City
China Division 1
1-1 1-1 54 D
02/05 Nantong Zhiyun
China Division 1
2-0 3-1 57 W
26/04 Changchun Yatai
China Division 1
1-1 2-1 64 W
19/04 Meizhou Hakka
China Division 1
1-0 3-0 82 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guangdong GZ-Power win (59%). Probabilities: Suzhou Dongwu 16%, draw 25%, Guangdong GZ-Power 59%.

How many goals are expected in Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Suzhou Dongwu 0.84 · Guangdong GZ-Power 1.78), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.