Football · China Division 1 · 17/07, 13:00

Prediction: Suzhou Dongwu vs Shenzhen Juniors

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Suzhou Dongwu1.27
Shenzhen Juniors1.62
1X2
28% 27% 44%
Suzhou Dongwu Draw Shenzhen Juniors
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Suzhou Dongwu 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LDWLLDLLDL
Shenzhen Juniors 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWDDLLDD
Head-to-head
Suzhou Dongwu 1–1–0 Shenzhen Juniors (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Suzhou Dongwu 1435 · Shenzhen Juniors 1497
Suzhou DongwuDrawShenzhen Juniors
Our model29%27%45%
Market28%28%44%
Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shenzhen Juniors (rating 1435 vs 1497).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Suzhou DongwuShenzhen Juniors
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 22 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 10.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.42.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 03.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Suzhou Dongwu 110 Shenzhen Juniors

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/10/25
China Division 1
Shenzhen Juniors0-2
HT 0-1
Suzhou Dongwu
22/06/25
China Division 1
Suzhou Dongwu0-0
HT 0-0
Shenzhen Juniors

Standings · China Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 14932 271430
2 Shenzhen Juniors 14743 261825
3 Yanbian Longding 14662 211224
4 Nantong Zhiyun 13652 12923
5 Guangxi Hengchen 13643 191322
6 Ningbo Professional FC 14734 191621
7 Shaanxi Union 13544 19919
8 Nanjing City 14536 141518
9 Wuxi Wugo 13454 211617
10 Dingnan Ganlian FC 14383 212417
11 Dalian K'un City 13445 192016
12 Changchun Yatai 13616 202215
13 Foshan Nanshi 14248 152710
14 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 14239 7189
15 Suzhou Dongwu 14239 11226
16 Meizhou Hakka 14428 13295

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSuzhou DongwuShenzhen Juniors
Guangdong GZ-Power 2-2 D 0-0 D
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1-1 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Shenzhen Juniors (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Suzhou Dongwu

LDWLLDLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
1-0 1-3 24 L
04/07 Guangdong GZ-Power
China Division 1
0-0 2-2 35 D
28/06 Ningbo Professional FC
China Division 1
0-2 1-2 104 L
21/06 Yunnan Yukun
China FA Cup
2-3 2-4 42 L
13/06 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
China Division 1
0-1 1-1 05 D
30/05 Wuxi Wugo
China Division 1
1-2 1-3 54 L
24/05 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
0-1 0-3 53 L
16/05 Yulin Mobei Miners
China FA Cup
1-0 2-0 43 W
10/05 Foshan Nanshi
China Division 1
0-0 1-1 53 D
03/05 Nanjing City
China Division 1
0-1 0-1 68 L

Shenzhen Juniors

WWWWDDLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Dingnan Ganlian FC
China Division 1
0-2 3-3 90 D
04/07 Nantong Zhiyun
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 75 D
27/06 Dalian K'un City
China Division 1
3-3 4-5 63 L
19/06 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
China FA Cup
0-3 1-3 25 L
14/06 Guangxi Hengchen
China Division 1
0-0 1-1 34 D
29/05 Guangdong GZ-Power
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 55 D
24/05 Changchun Yatai
China Division 1
3-0 4-0 14 W
16/05 Beijing Pengrui
China FA Cup
1-0 1-0 42 W
10/05 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
China Division 1
0-0 2-0 73 W
03/05 Meizhou Hakka
China Division 1
2-1 4-1 54 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Suzhou Dongwu vs Shenzhen Juniors?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shenzhen Juniors win (44%). Probabilities: Suzhou Dongwu 28%, draw 27%, Shenzhen Juniors 44%.

How many goals are expected in Suzhou Dongwu vs Shenzhen Juniors?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Suzhou Dongwu 1.27 · Shenzhen Juniors 1.62), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Suzhou Dongwu vs Shenzhen Juniors?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.