Football · China Division 1 · 01/08, 12:00
Prediction: Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City
Team pages: Yanbian Longding · Nanjing City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Yanbian Longding1.55
Nanjing City1
1X2
Yanbian Longding
Draw
Nanjing City
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Yanbian Longding
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Nanjing City
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yanbian Longding
2–2–2
Nanjing City
(6 last)
- Nanjing City0-0Yanbian Longding
- Yanbian Longding6-1Nanjing City
- Nanjing City1-1Yanbian Longding
- Yanbian Longding1-2Nanjing City
- Nanjing City0-1Yanbian Longding
- Nanjing City1-0Yanbian Longding
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yanbian Longding 1550 · Nanjing City 1452
| Yanbian Longding | Draw | Nanjing City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanbian Longding (rating 1550 vs 1452).
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yanbian Longding | Nanjing City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.2 | 3.4 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yanbian Longding 2–2–2 Nanjing City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Yanbian Longding |
| 08/11/25 China Division 1 | Yanbian Longding | 6-1 HT 1-1 | Nanjing City |
| 06/07/25 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Yanbian Longding |
| 20/07/24 China Division 1 | Yanbian Longding | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Nanjing City |
| 23/03/24 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Yanbian Longding |
| 02/09/23 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Yanbian Longding |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Yanbian Longding | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 28 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Guangxi Hengchen | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 26 |
| 5 | Shenzhen Juniors | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 21 | 26 |
| 6 | Ningbo Professional FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 24 |
| 7 | Wuxi Wugo | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 23 |
| 8 | Shaanxi Union | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 22 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 28 | 18 |
| 10 | Nanjing City | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 25 | 29 | 18 |
| 12 | Dalian K'un City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 17 |
| 13 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | Foshan Nanshi | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 10 |
| 15 | Suzhou Dongwu | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Meizhou Hakka | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yanbian Longding | Nanjing City |
|---|---|---|
| Meizhou Hakka | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Foshan Nanshi | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Changchun Yatai | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Guangdong GZ-Power | 4-3 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Yanbian Longding (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yanbian Longding
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 11/07 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-3 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Shanghai Segenda China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Nanjing City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Qingdao Red Lions China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yanbian Longding win (49%). Probabilities: Yanbian Longding 49%, draw 28%, Nanjing City 23%.
How many goals are expected in Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Yanbian Longding 1.55 · Nanjing City 1), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.