Football · China Division 1 · 15/08, 14:00

Prediction: Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka

Team pages: Guangxi Hengchen · Meizhou Hakka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Guangxi Hengchen2.34

Meizhou Hakka0.96

1X2

67% 20% 13%

Guangxi Hengchen Draw Meizhou Hakka

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Guangxi Hengchen 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDDLWWWDWL

Meizhou Hakka 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDDWLLWLLW

Head-to-head

Guangxi Hengchen 1–1 Meizhou Hakka (2 last)

Meizhou Hakka2-1Guangxi Hengchen
Guangxi Hengchen2-1Meizhou Hakka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guangxi Hengchen 1513 · Meizhou Hakka 1504

	Guangxi Hengchen	Draw	Meizhou Hakka
Our model	67%	20%	13%
Market	67%	20%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guangxi Hengchen	Meizhou Hakka
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.9	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 6.4	2.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.50

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:37 +13’	1.33	4.50	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangxi Hengchen 1–0–1 Meizhou Hakka

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 China Division 1	Meizhou Hakka	2-1 HT 0-1	Guangxi Hengchen
20/05/25 China FA Cup	Guangxi Hengchen	2-1 HT 1-1	Meizhou Hakka

Standings · China Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	18	12	4	2	33	16	40
2	Shenzhen Juniors	18	9	5	4	28	21	32
3	Nantong Zhiyun	17	8	7	2	21	13	31
4	Guangxi Hengchen	17	8	5	4	30	21	29
5	Yanbian Longding	18	7	8	3	24	15	29
6	Ningbo Professional FC	17	8	3	6	23	22	24
7	Shaanxi Union	17	6	5	6	25	16	23
8	Wuxi Wugo	16	6	5	5	28	18	23
9	Dingnan Ganlian FC	18	4	9	5	28	35	21
10	Nanjing City	18	5	5	8	17	20	20
11	Changchun Yatai	17	7	2	8	26	32	19
12	Dalian K'un City	17	4	6	7	22	26	18
13	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	18	3	6	9	12	22	15
14	Suzhou Dongwu	18	4	5	9	14	23	14
15	Meizhou Hakka	18	6	2	10	19	34	11
16	Foshan Nanshi	18	2	5	11	19	35	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guangxi Hengchen	Meizhou Hakka
Dingnan Ganlian FC	4-4 D	2-2 D
Shaanxi Union	3-0 W	0-4 L
Dalian K'un City	3-1 W	2-0 W
Changchun Yatai	2-1 W	1-3 L
Foshan Nanshi	3-3 D	3-2 W
Nantong Zhiyun	0-0 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Guangxi Hengchen

DDDLWWWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
01/08	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-1	4-2	2	5	W
26/07	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	2-1	4-4	8	4	D
18/07	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-0	3-0	13	3	W
05/07	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-1	3-1	7	0	W
27/06	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
20/06	Shandong Taishan China FA Cup	0-2	0-5	6	0	L
14/06	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	1-1	12	4	D
30/05	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-1	3-3	4	3	D
23/05	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	0-0	4	1	D

Meizhou Hakka

WDDWLLWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	3-2	4	5	W
02/08	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
26/07	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-2	1-2	7	5	L
18/07	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
11/07	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-1	0-4	5	1	L
05/07	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	1-2	1-3	6	0	L
27/06	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	1-0	3-1	2	4	W
14/06	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	1-1	1-1	5	0	D
30/05	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	1-2	2-2	6	3	D
24/05	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	1-0	1-0	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangxi Hengchen win (67%). Probabilities: Guangxi Hengchen 67%, draw 20%, Meizhou Hakka 13%.

How many goals are expected in Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Guangxi Hengchen 2.34 · Meizhou Hakka 0.96), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.