Football · China Division 1 · 16/08, 13:00

Prediction: Suzhou Dongwu vs Nantong Zhiyun

Team pages: Suzhou Dongwu · Nantong Zhiyun

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Suzhou Dongwu0.9

Nantong Zhiyun1.36

1X2

24% 30% 47%

Suzhou Dongwu Draw Nantong Zhiyun

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Suzhou Dongwu 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLDLDDWW

Nantong Zhiyun 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LDDWLDWDWD

Head-to-head

Suzhou Dongwu 1–5 Nantong Zhiyun (6 last)

Nantong Zhiyun1-0Suzhou Dongwu
Nantong Zhiyun2-0Suzhou Dongwu
Suzhou Dongwu2-0Nantong Zhiyun
Suzhou Dongwu0-3Nantong Zhiyun
Nantong Zhiyun1-0Suzhou Dongwu
Nantong Zhiyun3-1Suzhou Dongwu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Suzhou Dongwu 1456 · Nantong Zhiyun 1533

	Suzhou Dongwu	Draw	Nantong Zhiyun
Our model	23%	30%	46%
Market	24%	29%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nantong Zhiyun (rating 1456 vs 1533).
H2H favours Nantong Zhiyun: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Suzhou Dongwu	Nantong Zhiyun
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	3.3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.75

X3.10

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.12
2	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 2.09 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:27 +4’	3.75	3.10	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:30 +1’	3.40	3.35	2.06
09:39 +1’	3.64▲	3.36▲	1.98▼
18:31 +11’	3.59▼	3.12▼	2.09▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Suzhou Dongwu 1–0–5 Nantong Zhiyun

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 China Division 1	Nantong Zhiyun	1-0 HT 0-0	Suzhou Dongwu
14/09/25 China Division 1	Nantong Zhiyun	2-0 HT 0-0	Suzhou Dongwu
03/05/25 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	2-0 HT 2-0	Nantong Zhiyun
26/06/22 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	0-3 HT 0-2	Nantong Zhiyun
08/06/22 China Division 1	Nantong Zhiyun	1-0 HT 0-0	Suzhou Dongwu
15/12/21 China Division 1	Nantong Zhiyun	3-1 HT 2-0	Suzhou Dongwu

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	18	12	4	2	33	16	40
2	Shenzhen Juniors	18	9	5	4	28	21	32
3	Nantong Zhiyun	17	8	7	2	21	13	31
4	Guangxi Hengchen	17	8	5	4	30	21	29
5	Yanbian Longding	18	7	8	3	24	15	29
6	Shaanxi Union	18	7	5	6	27	17	26
7	Ningbo Professional FC	17	8	3	6	23	22	24
8	Wuxi Wugo	16	6	5	5	28	18	23
9	Dingnan Ganlian FC	18	4	9	5	28	35	21
10	Nanjing City	18	5	5	8	17	20	20
11	Changchun Yatai	18	7	2	9	27	34	19
12	Dalian K'un City	17	4	6	7	22	26	18
13	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	18	3	6	9	12	22	15
14	Suzhou Dongwu	18	4	5	9	14	23	14
15	Meizhou Hakka	18	6	2	10	19	34	11
16	Foshan Nanshi	18	2	5	11	19	35	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Suzhou Dongwu	Nantong Zhiyun
Meizhou Hakka	1-0 W	1-3 L
Shenzhen Juniors	0-0 D	0-0 D
Yanbian Longding	1-3 L	2-0 W
Ningbo Professional FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nantong Zhiyun (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Suzhou Dongwu

LDLLDLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
02/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
26/07	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
17/07	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
11/07	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-0	1-3	2	4	L
04/07	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-0	2-2	3	5	D
28/06	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-2	1-2	10	4	L
21/06	Yunnan Yukun China FA Cup	2-3	2-4	4	2	L
13/06	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-1	1-1	0	5	D
30/05	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	1-2	1-3	5	4	L

Nantong Zhiyun

LDDWLDWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-1	1-1	9	4	D
01/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	3-0	5-1	9	0	W
25/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
17/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-1	2-1	10	2	W
04/07	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
27/06	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-1	1-3	11	4	L
14/06	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
29/05	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	8	D
23/05	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
15/05	Dalian Kewei China FA Cup	1-1	1-2	5	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Suzhou Dongwu vs Nantong Zhiyun?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nantong Zhiyun win (47%). Probabilities: Suzhou Dongwu 24%, draw 30%, Nantong Zhiyun 47%.

How many goals are expected in Suzhou Dongwu vs Nantong Zhiyun?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Suzhou Dongwu 0.9 · Nantong Zhiyun 1.36), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Suzhou Dongwu vs Nantong Zhiyun?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.