Football · China Division 1 · 12/09, 13:00
Prediction: Suzhou Dongwu vs Foshan Nanshi
Team pages: Suzhou Dongwu · Foshan Nanshi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Suzhou Dongwu1.96
Foshan Nanshi0.95
1X2
Suzhou Dongwu
Draw
Foshan Nanshi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Suzhou Dongwu
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Foshan Nanshi
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Suzhou Dongwu
2–2–2
Foshan Nanshi
(6 last)
- Foshan Nanshi1-1Suzhou Dongwu
- Suzhou Dongwu0-1Foshan Nanshi
- Foshan Nanshi0-2Suzhou Dongwu
- Foshan Nanshi1-1Suzhou Dongwu
- Suzhou Dongwu3-0Foshan Nanshi
- Suzhou Dongwu1-2Foshan Nanshi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Suzhou Dongwu 1524 · Foshan Nanshi 1402
| Suzhou Dongwu | Draw | Foshan Nanshi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 23% | 17% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suzhou Dongwu (rating 1524 vs 1402).
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suzhou Dongwu | Foshan Nanshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.6 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Suzhou Dongwu 2–2–2 Foshan Nanshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 China Division 1 | Foshan Nanshi | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Suzhou Dongwu |
| 19/07/25 China Division 1 | Suzhou Dongwu | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Foshan Nanshi |
| 30/03/25 China Division 1 | Foshan Nanshi | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Suzhou Dongwu |
| 17/08/24 China Division 1 | Foshan Nanshi | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Suzhou Dongwu |
| 31/03/24 China Division 1 | Suzhou Dongwu | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Foshan Nanshi |
| 09/10/23 China Division 1 | Suzhou Dongwu | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Foshan Nanshi |
Standings · China Division 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 50 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | Guangxi Hengchen | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 36 |
| 4 | Nantong Zhiyun | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 36 |
| 5 | Yanbian Longding | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 35 |
| 6 | Shaanxi Union | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 23 | 32 |
| 7 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 27 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugo | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 25 | 26 |
| 9 | Ningbo Professional FC | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 28 | 26 |
| 10 | Changchun Yatai | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 37 | 25 |
| 11 | Dalian K'un City | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 25 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 22 |
| 13 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 44 | 22 |
| 14 | Nanjing City | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 21 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 46 | 12 |
| 16 | Foshan Nanshi | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 45 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Suzhou Dongwu | Foshan Nanshi |
|---|---|---|
| Nanjing City | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Nantong Zhiyun | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Changchun Yatai | 2-1 W | 0-6 L |
| Meizhou Hakka | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Dalian K'un City | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Shenzhen Juniors | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Guangdong GZ-Power | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Suzhou Dongwu (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suzhou Dongwu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
1-2 | 4-3 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 17/07 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
Foshan Nanshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-5 | 0-6 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 17/07 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/07 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suzhou Dongwu vs Foshan Nanshi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Suzhou Dongwu win (60%). Probabilities: Suzhou Dongwu 60%, draw 24%, Foshan Nanshi 16%.
How many goals are expected in Suzhou Dongwu vs Foshan Nanshi?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Suzhou Dongwu 1.96 · Foshan Nanshi 0.95), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Suzhou Dongwu vs Foshan Nanshi?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.