Football · China Division 1 · 13/09, 13:30

Prediction: Meizhou Hakka vs Nanjing City

Team pages: Meizhou Hakka · Nanjing City

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Meizhou Hakka1.35
Nanjing City1.38
1X2
35% 28% 37%
Meizhou Hakka Draw Nanjing City
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Meizhou Hakka 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLWLLWLLDL
Nanjing City 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLDDDLLL
Head-to-head
Meizhou Hakka 2–1 Nanjing City (3 last)
  • Nanjing City2-0Meizhou Hakka
  • Meizhou Hakka4-2Nanjing City
  • Nanjing City1-2Meizhou Hakka
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Meizhou Hakka 1446 · Nanjing City 1446
Meizhou HakkaDrawNanjing City
Our model35%28%37%
Market35%28%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Meizhou Hakka: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Meizhou HakkaNanjing City
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.40.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.90.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.82 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 0.24 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Meizhou Hakka 201 Nanjing City

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
China Division 1
Nanjing City2-0
HT 1-0
Meizhou Hakka
21/09/21
China Division 1
Meizhou Hakka4-2
HT 2-1
Nanjing City
03/09/21
China Division 1
Nanjing City1-2
HT 1-0
Meizhou Hakka

Standings · China Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 221552 451850
2 Shenzhen Juniors 221264 382442
3 Guangxi Hengchen 211065 362536
4 Nantong Zhiyun 21993 281836
5 Yanbian Longding 22985 312335
6 Shaanxi Union 21957 332332
7 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 22769 192427
8 Wuxi Wugo 20758 312526
9 Ningbo Professional FC 21858 262826
10 Changchun Yatai 219210 353725
11 Dalian K'un City 21678 283225
12 Suzhou Dongwu 22679 232922
13 Dingnan Ganlian FC 224108 344422
14 Nanjing City 225611 192821
15 Meizhou Hakka 226313 224612
16 Foshan Nanshi 222614 214512

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMeizhou HakkaNanjing City
Shenzhen Juniors 1-5 L 1-3 L
Guangdong GZ-Power 1-5 L 0-1 L
Guangxi Hengchen 0-1 L 0-2 L
Foshan Nanshi 3-2 W 3-1 W
Suzhou Dongwu 0-1 L 0-2 L
Yanbian Longding 1-2 L 1-1 D
Dalian K'un City 2-0 W 0-2 L
Changchun Yatai 1-3 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 6 L 1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Nanjing City (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Meizhou Hakka

LLWLLWLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Shenzhen Juniors
China Division 1
0-0 1-5 12 L
30/08 Ningbo Professional FC
China Division 1
1-1 1-1 55 D
22/08 Guangdong GZ-Power
China Division 1
0-2 1-5 52 L
15/08 Guangxi Hengchen
China Division 1
0-1 0-1 31 L
08/08 Foshan Nanshi
China Division 1
1-0 3-2 45 W
02/08 Suzhou Dongwu
China Division 1
0-0 0-1 52 L
26/07 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
1-2 1-2 75 L
18/07 Dalian K'un City
China Division 1
2-0 2-0 72 W
11/07 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
0-1 0-4 51 L
05/07 Changchun Yatai
China Division 1
1-2 1-3 60 L

Nanjing City

WLLLDDDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Suzhou Dongwu
China Division 1
0-1 0-2 33 L
29/08 Guangxi Hengchen
China Division 1
0-1 0-2 51 L
23/08 Shenzhen Juniors
China Division 1
0-1 1-3 38 L
16/08 Dingnan Ganlian FC
China Division 1
0-1 1-1 94 D
08/08 Nantong Zhiyun
China Division 1
1-1 1-1 04 D
01/08 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
1-0 1-1 56 D
25/07 Changchun Yatai
China Division 1
0-2 1-2 103 L
18/07 Guangdong GZ-Power
China Division 1
0-1 0-1 37 L
11/07 Dalian K'un City
China Division 1
0-0 0-2 62 L
05/07 Foshan Nanshi
China Division 1
3-0 3-1 102 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Meizhou Hakka vs Nanjing City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nanjing City win (37%). Probabilities: Meizhou Hakka 35%, draw 28%, Nanjing City 37%.

How many goals are expected in Meizhou Hakka vs Nanjing City?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Meizhou Hakka 1.35 · Nanjing City 1.38), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Meizhou Hakka vs Nanjing City?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.