Football · China Division 1 · 13/09, 13:30
Prediction: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Shenzhen Juniors
Team pages: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC · Shenzhen Juniors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC0.99
Shenzhen Juniors1.23
1X2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Draw
Shenzhen Juniors
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Shenzhen Juniors
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
1–2
Shenzhen Juniors
(3 last)
- Shenzhen Juniors2-0Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC1-0Shenzhen Juniors
- Shenzhen Juniors4-0Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1545 · Shenzhen Juniors 1548
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | Draw | Shenzhen Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 31% | 40% |
| Market | 30% | 29% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Shenzhen Juniors: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | Shenzhen Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.8 | 4 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1–0–2 Shenzhen Juniors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 China Division 1 | Shenzhen Juniors | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
| 18/10/25 China Division 1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Shenzhen Juniors |
| 15/06/25 China Division 1 | Shenzhen Juniors | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 50 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | Guangxi Hengchen | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 36 |
| 4 | Nantong Zhiyun | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 36 |
| 5 | Yanbian Longding | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 35 |
| 6 | Shaanxi Union | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 23 | 32 |
| 7 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 27 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugo | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 25 | 26 |
| 9 | Ningbo Professional FC | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 28 | 26 |
| 10 | Changchun Yatai | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 37 | 25 |
| 11 | Dalian K'un City | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 25 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 22 |
| 13 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 44 | 22 |
| 14 | Nanjing City | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 21 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 46 | 12 |
| 16 | Foshan Nanshi | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 45 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | Shenzhen Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Wuxi Wugo | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Foshan Nanshi | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Shaanxi Union | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Nantong Zhiyun | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Yanbian Longding | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Ningbo Professional FC | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/07 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 11/07 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
Shenzhen Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
0-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/07 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Shenzhen Juniors?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shenzhen Juniors win (41%). Probabilities: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 29%, draw 30%, Shenzhen Juniors 41%.
How many goals are expected in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Shenzhen Juniors?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 0.99 · Shenzhen Juniors 1.23), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Shenzhen Juniors?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.