Football · China Division 1 · 10/10, 13:00

Prediction: Suzhou Dongwu vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

Team pages: Suzhou Dongwu · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Suzhou Dongwu1.42

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC0.98

1X2

46% 29% 25%

Suzhou Dongwu Draw Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Suzhou Dongwu 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDDWWWDD

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWWDWW

Head-to-head

Suzhou Dongwu 1–3–2 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC (6 last)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC1-1Suzhou Dongwu
Suzhou Dongwu1-1Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC1-1Suzhou Dongwu
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC2-0Suzhou Dongwu
Suzhou Dongwu1-0Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC3-0Suzhou Dongwu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Suzhou Dongwu 1556 · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1582

	Suzhou Dongwu	Draw	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Our model	46%	29%	25%
Market	46%	29%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Suzhou Dongwu	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.3	1.6 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.9	1.5 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.10

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.16 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.15
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:36 +8’	1.95	3.10	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:34 +70’	2.16	3.15	3.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Suzhou Dongwu 1–3–2 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 China Division 1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Suzhou Dongwu
10/08/25 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	1-1 HT 1-1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
23/04/25 China Division 1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Suzhou Dongwu
03/11/24 China Division 1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Suzhou Dongwu
29/06/24 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	1-0 HT 0-0	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
05/11/23 China Division 1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	3-0 HT 1-0	Suzhou Dongwu

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	25	17	6	2	52	21	57
2	Guangxi Hengchen	24	13	6	5	40	26	45
3	Nantong Zhiyun	25	12	9	4	34	20	45
4	Shenzhen Juniors	25	12	8	5	40	29	44
5	Shaanxi Union	24	10	6	8	38	26	36
6	Yanbian Longding	25	9	9	7	34	28	36
7	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	25	9	7	9	23	25	34
8	Wuxi Wugo	25	9	6	10	38	31	33
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38	41	30
10	Ningbo Professional FC	25	9	5	11	27	31	29
11	Dalian K'un City	25	7	8	10	30	37	29
12	Suzhou Dongwu	25	7	9	9	30	35	27
13	Dingnan Ganlian FC	25	4	12	9	35	46	24
14	Nanjing City	24	5	6	13	20	33	21
15	Meizhou Hakka	25	7	4	14	25	50	16
16	Foshan Nanshi	24	2	7	15	24	49	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Suzhou Dongwu	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Wuxi Wugo	2-2 D	2-0 W
Shaanxi Union	2-2 D	2-1 W
Foshan Nanshi	3-2 W	2-1 W
Guangxi Hengchen	3-3 D	1-0 W
Nantong Zhiyun	0-0 D	1-1 D
Changchun Yatai	2-1 W	2-2 D
Meizhou Hakka	1-0 W	3-1 W
Dalian K'un City	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 5 D 0 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Suzhou Dongwu

DWWDDWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
19/09	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-2	2-2	7	4	D
12/09	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	3-2	1	4	W
06/09	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
29/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	1-2	4-3	6	1	W
22/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-2	3-3	3	2	D
16/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
08/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
02/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
26/07	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	5	D

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

DDWWWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/09	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
13/09	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
06/09	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
29/08	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	2-0	2-0	7	3	W
22/08	Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1	2-1	2-1	2	5	W
16/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-0	2-1	0	6	W
08/08	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
02/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	1-0	2-2	4	3	D
25/07	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	1-1	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Suzhou Dongwu vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Suzhou Dongwu win (46%). Probabilities: Suzhou Dongwu 46%, draw 29%, Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 25%.

How many goals are expected in Suzhou Dongwu vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Suzhou Dongwu 1.42 · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 0.98), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Suzhou Dongwu vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.