Football · China Division 1 · 31/10, 07:30

Prediction: Meizhou Hakka vs Shaanxi Union

Team pages: Meizhou Hakka · Shaanxi Union

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

Meizhou Hakka1.26

Shaanxi Union2.17

1X2

21% 22% 57%

Meizhou Hakka Draw Shaanxi Union

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Meizhou Hakka 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLDLLL

Shaanxi Union 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLDWWWWL

Head-to-head

Meizhou Hakka 0–1 Shaanxi Union (1 last)

Shaanxi Union4-0Meizhou Hakka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Meizhou Hakka 1408 · Shaanxi Union 1550

	Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Shaanxi Union
Our model	21%	22%	57%
Market	21%	22%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shaanxi Union (rating 1408 vs 1550).
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Meizhou Hakka	Shaanxi Union
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.4	2.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.5	1.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.2	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.33

X4.00

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.56 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.57 → 1.57	Pinn 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
07:00 +7’	4.33	4.00	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:56 +10’	4.56	3.85	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Meizhou Hakka 0–0–1 Shaanxi Union

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 China Division 1	Shaanxi Union	4-0 HT 1-0	Meizhou Hakka

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	28	18	7	3	56	27	61
2	Nantong Zhiyun	28	15	9	4	37	20	54
3	Guangxi Hengchen	28	13	8	7	45	33	47
4	Shenzhen Juniors	28	12	10	6	42	32	46
5	Shaanxi Union	28	13	6	9	51	30	45
6	Yanbian Longding	28	11	9	8	41	30	42
7	Wuxi Wugo	28	11	6	11	43	33	39
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	28	10	8	10	26	28	38
9	Changchun Yatai	28	11	6	11	45	45	35
10	Dalian K'un City	28	8	10	10	35	41	34
11	Ningbo Professional FC	28	9	7	12	30	35	31
12	Suzhou Dongwu	28	7	12	9	32	37	30
13	Nanjing City	28	7	7	14	27	39	28
14	Dingnan Ganlian FC	28	5	12	11	39	51	27
15	Meizhou Hakka	28	7	4	17	26	58	16
16	Foshan Nanshi	28	3	7	18	28	64	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Meizhou Hakka	Shaanxi Union
Nantong Zhiyun	0-1 L	1-4 L
Wuxi Wugo	0-3 L	0-2 L
Dingnan Ganlian FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Nanjing City	2-1 W	4-1 W
Ningbo Professional FC	1-1 D	0-1 L
Guangdong GZ-Power	1-5 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Shaanxi Union (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Meizhou Hakka

LLDLWLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-2	1-4	6	3	L
18/10	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-1	0-1	12	2	L
10/10	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-1	0-3	17	0	L
06/10	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
19/09	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	1-3	9	3	L
13/09	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
06/09	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	1-5	1	2	L
30/08	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
22/08	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-2	1-5	5	2	L
15/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-1	0-1	3	1	L

Shaanxi Union

LWWLDWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
18/10	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	3-0	4-0	1	4	W
11/10	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-0	5-1	6	4	W
07/10	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-1	4-1	7	3	W
27/09	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	2-0	3-0	4	2	W
19/09	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-1	2-2	3	4	D
12/09	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
05/09	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	2-1	8	1	W
29/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
22/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	1-3	1-4	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Meizhou Hakka vs Shaanxi Union?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shaanxi Union win (57%). Probabilities: Meizhou Hakka 21%, draw 22%, Shaanxi Union 57%.

How many goals are expected in Meizhou Hakka vs Shaanxi Union?

The model expects 3.43 goals (Meizhou Hakka 1.26 · Shaanxi Union 2.17), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Meizhou Hakka vs Shaanxi Union?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.