Football · China Division 1 · 31/10, 07:30

Prediction: Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding

Team pages: Suzhou Dongwu · Yanbian Longding

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Suzhou Dongwu1.66

Yanbian Longding1.35

1X2

43% 27% 29%

Suzhou Dongwu Draw Yanbian Longding

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Suzhou Dongwu 3-7-0 (W-D-L)

DDWWWDDDDD

Yanbian Longding 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLDLWW

Head-to-head

Suzhou Dongwu 1–3–2 Yanbian Longding (6 last)

Yanbian Longding3-1Suzhou Dongwu
Suzhou Dongwu1-1Yanbian Longding
Yanbian Longding2-1Suzhou Dongwu
Yanbian Longding0-5Suzhou Dongwu
Suzhou Dongwu1-1Yanbian Longding
Yanbian Longding2-2Suzhou Dongwu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Suzhou Dongwu 1527 · Yanbian Longding 1502

	Suzhou Dongwu	Draw	Yanbian Longding
Our model	44%	26%	30%
Market	43%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Yanbian Longding: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Suzhou Dongwu	Yanbian Longding
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.2	1 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.21 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.18

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
07:03 +4’	2.10	3.20	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:52 +14’	2.21	3.02	3.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Suzhou Dongwu 1–3–2 Yanbian Longding

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 China Division 1	Yanbian Longding	3-1 HT 0-1	Suzhou Dongwu
12/10/25 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	1-1 HT 1-0	Yanbian Longding
01/06/25 China Division 1	Yanbian Longding	2-1 HT 1-1	Suzhou Dongwu
07/07/24 China Division 1	Yanbian Longding	0-5 HT 0-1	Suzhou Dongwu
10/03/24 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	1-1 HT 1-1	Yanbian Longding
29/07/23 China Division 1	Yanbian Longding	2-2 HT 2-0	Suzhou Dongwu

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	28	18	7	3	56	27	61
2	Nantong Zhiyun	28	15	9	4	37	20	54
3	Guangxi Hengchen	28	13	8	7	45	33	47
4	Shenzhen Juniors	28	12	10	6	42	32	46
5	Shaanxi Union	28	13	6	9	51	30	45
6	Yanbian Longding	28	11	9	8	41	30	42
7	Wuxi Wugo	28	11	6	11	43	33	39
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	28	10	8	10	26	28	38
9	Changchun Yatai	28	11	6	11	45	45	35
10	Dalian K'un City	28	8	10	10	35	41	34
11	Ningbo Professional FC	28	9	7	12	30	35	31
12	Suzhou Dongwu	28	7	12	9	32	37	30
13	Nanjing City	28	7	7	14	27	39	28
14	Dingnan Ganlian FC	28	5	12	11	39	51	27
15	Meizhou Hakka	28	7	4	17	26	58	16
16	Foshan Nanshi	28	3	7	18	28	64	16

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Suzhou Dongwu	Yanbian Longding
Guangdong GZ-Power	1-1 D	1-2 L
Ningbo Professional FC	1-1 D	3-2 W
Wuxi Wugo	2-2 D	0-2 L
Shaanxi Union	2-2 D	1-3 L
Foshan Nanshi	3-2 W	5-0 W
Dingnan Ganlian FC	4-3 W	2-1 W
Guangxi Hengchen	3-3 D	1-2 L
Nantong Zhiyun	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 6 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Suzhou Dongwu (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Suzhou Dongwu

DDWWWDDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
17/10	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
10/10	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
06/10	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
19/09	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-2	2-2	7	4	D
12/09	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	3-2	1	4	W
06/09	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
29/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	1-2	4-3	6	1	W
22/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-2	3-3	3	2	D
16/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	3	D

Yanbian Longding

WWLLLLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
17/10	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-0	5-0	5	1	W
11/10	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
06/10	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
18/09	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
12/09	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
05/09	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
29/08	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-2	1-3	4	3	L
22/08	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-1	3-2	1	5	W
15/08	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	1-0	3-1	0	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Suzhou Dongwu win (43%). Probabilities: Suzhou Dongwu 43%, draw 27%, Yanbian Longding 29%.

How many goals are expected in Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Suzhou Dongwu 1.66 · Yanbian Longding 1.35), with a 59% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.