Football · China Division 1 · 07/11, 07:30

Prediction: Dalian K'un City vs Meizhou Hakka

Team pages: Dalian K'un City · Meizhou Hakka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Dalian K'un City1.85

Meizhou Hakka1.05

1X2

55% 24% 20%

Dalian K'un City Draw Meizhou Hakka

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dalian K'un City 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWLLDDWL

Meizhou Hakka 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLWLDLLLL

Head-to-head

Dalian K'un City 0–1 Meizhou Hakka (1 last)

Meizhou Hakka2-0Dalian K'un City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalian K'un City 1488 · Meizhou Hakka 1421

	Dalian K'un City	Draw	Meizhou Hakka
Our model	55%	25%	20%
Market	56%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalian K'un City (rating 1488 vs 1421).
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dalian K'un City	Meizhou Hakka
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	0.7 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.3	2.6 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.80

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:01 +8’	1.61	3.80	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian K'un City 0–0–1 Meizhou Hakka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 China Division 1	Meizhou Hakka	2-0 HT 2-0	Dalian K'un City

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	29	18	8	3	57	28	62
2	Nantong Zhiyun	29	15	9	5	37	21	54
3	Shaanxi Union	29	14	6	9	53	30	48
4	Guangxi Hengchen	29	13	8	8	46	35	47
5	Shenzhen Juniors	29	12	11	6	42	32	47
6	Yanbian Longding	29	12	9	8	42	30	45
7	Wuxi Wugo	29	12	6	11	45	34	42
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	29	10	9	10	27	29	39
9	Changchun Yatai	29	12	6	11	46	45	38
10	Ningbo Professional FC	29	10	7	12	34	36	34
11	Dalian K'un City	29	8	10	11	35	43	34
12	Nanjing City	29	8	7	14	29	39	31
13	Suzhou Dongwu	29	7	12	10	32	38	30
14	Dingnan Ganlian FC	29	5	13	11	39	51	28
15	Meizhou Hakka	29	7	4	18	26	60	16
16	Foshan Nanshi	29	3	7	19	29	68	16

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dalian K'un City	Meizhou Hakka
Nanjing City	0-2 L	2-1 W
Shenzhen Juniors	1-1 D	1-5 L
Changchun Yatai	1-1 D	1-4 L
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	0-1 L	1-3 L
Shaanxi Union	0-3 L	0-2 L
Ningbo Professional FC	1-0 W	1-1 D
Guangdong GZ-Power	1-1 D	1-5 L
Nantong Zhiyun	3-2 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Dalian K'un City (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dalian K'un City

WDDWLLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
24/10	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	2-0	3-2	0	4	W
17/10	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
10/10	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
06/10	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
27/09	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-2	0-3	7	2	L
18/09	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
12/09	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
05/09	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
30/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	2-0	3-2	6	5	W

Meizhou Hakka

LDLWLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
24/10	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-2	1-4	6	3	L
18/10	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-1	0-1	12	2	L
10/10	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-1	0-3	17	0	L
06/10	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
19/09	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	1-3	9	3	L
13/09	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
06/09	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	1-5	1	2	L
30/08	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
22/08	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-2	1-5	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalian K'un City vs Meizhou Hakka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalian K'un City win (55%). Probabilities: Dalian K'un City 55%, draw 24%, Meizhou Hakka 20%.

How many goals are expected in Dalian K'un City vs Meizhou Hakka?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Dalian K'un City 1.85 · Meizhou Hakka 1.05), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dalian K'un City vs Meizhou Hakka?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.