Football · Brazil Catarinense 2 · 12/07, 20:00
Prediction: Juventus Jaragua Do Sul vs Guarani de Palhoca
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Juventus Jaragua Do Sul1.28
Guarani de Palhoca1.12
1X2
Juventus Jaragua Do Sul
Draw
Guarani de Palhoca
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Juventus Jaragua Do Sul
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Guarani de Palhoca
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Juventus Jaragua Do Sul
1–3–2
Guarani de Palhoca
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 1462 · Guarani de Palhoca 1502
| Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | Draw | Guarani de Palhoca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 39% | 30% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guarani de Palhoca (rating 1462 vs 1502).
- H2H favours Guarani de Palhoca: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | Guarani de Palhoca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/50/38% | 22/44/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.9 | 2.1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.1 | 5.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 1–3–2 Guarani de Palhoca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Guarani de Palhoca | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul |
| 01/06/24 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Guarani de Palhoca | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul |
| 23/07/23 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Guarani de Palhoca |
| 28/07/19 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Guarani de Palhoca | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul |
| 20/06/19 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Guarani de Palhoca |
| 12/07/18 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Guarani de Palhoca | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul |
Standings · Brazil Catarinense 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | CA Metropolitano | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Blumenau EC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Caravaggio SC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 16 | 24 |
| 5 | Tubarao | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani de Palhoca | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 15 |
| 7 | Fluminense SC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 14 |
| 8 | Nacao | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 14 |
| 9 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 11 |
| 10 | SC Jaragua | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 46 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | Guarani de Palhoca |
|---|---|---|
| Blumenau EC | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| SC Jaragua | 8-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Tubarao | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Nacao | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Caravaggio SC | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| CA Metropolitano | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Fluminense SC | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Hercilio Luz | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Guarani de Palhoca (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juventus Jaragua Do Sul
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 04/07 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
4-0 | 8-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/06 | Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/05 | Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 10/05 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Guarani de Palhoca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 21/06 | Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/06 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 10/05 | Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-2 | 0-6 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juventus Jaragua Do Sul vs Guarani de Palhoca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Juventus Jaragua Do Sul win (39%). Probabilities: Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 39%, draw 30%, Guarani de Palhoca 31%.
How many goals are expected in Juventus Jaragua Do Sul vs Guarani de Palhoca?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 1.28 · Guarani de Palhoca 1.12), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Juventus Jaragua Do Sul vs Guarani de Palhoca?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.