Football · Brazil Catarinense 2 · 22/07, 20:00

Prediction: Fluminense SC vs Tubarao

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

Fluminense SC1.26

Tubarao1.13

1X2

38% 30% 32%

Fluminense SC Draw Tubarao

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fluminense SC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLDWDL

Tubarao 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWWLLL

Head-to-head

Fluminense SC 1–2–3 Tubarao (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tubarao: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fluminense SC	Tubarao
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/67/33%	25/63/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	3.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	5.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.81

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.21 → 3.21	Pinn 3.21
X	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 2.88
2	2.14 → 2.14	Pinn 2.14

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:01	3.21	2.88	2.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fluminense SC 1–2–3 Tubarao

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Brazil Catarinense 2	Tubarao	1-0 HT 0-0	Fluminense SC
28/06/25 Brazil Catarinense 2	Fluminense SC	3-1 HT 0-1	Tubarao
17/09/23 Brazil Matches	Fluminense SC	0-1 HT 0-1	Tubarao
15/08/21 Brazil Catarinense 2	Tubarao	1-1 HT 0-1	Fluminense SC
05/07/21 Brazil Catarinense 2	Fluminense SC	0-1 HT 0-1	Tubarao
27/10/19 Brazil Copa Santa Catarina	Fluminense SC	1-1 HT 1-0	Tubarao

Standings · Brazil Catarinense 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	16	12	2	2	33	9	38
2	CA Metropolitano	16	10	2	4	31	18	32
3	Caravaggio SC	16	9	4	3	44	19	31
4	Blumenau EC	16	8	4	4	32	13	28
5	Tubarao	16	6	5	5	22	17	23
6	Fluminense SC	16	5	3	8	14	21	18
7	Nacao	16	4	6	6	16	24	18
8	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul	16	5	2	9	16	21	17
9	Guarani de Palhoca	16	4	5	7	15	24	17
10	SC Jaragua	16	0	1	15	6	63	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fluminense SC	Tubarao
Juventus Jaragua Do Sul	0-3 L	2-0 W
Guarani de Palhoca	1-1 D	2-2 D
Nacao	2-1 W	1-0 W
Blumenau EC	1-1 D	2-3 L
Hercilio Luz	2-4 L	0-2 L
SC Jaragua	1-0 W	3-0 W
Caravaggio SC	0-1 L	1-2 L
CA Metropolitano	1-3 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Tubarao (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fluminense SC

LLLLWLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2	0-3	0-3	4	6	L
15/07	Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	1-1	5	9	D
12/07	Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
04/07	Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
28/06	Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2	1-1	2-4	2	6	L
21/06	SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
14/06	Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	0-1	6	0	L
11/06	CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2	1-2	1-3	10	2	L
31/05	Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
28/05	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L

Tubarao

LWDLWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2	0-2	0-2	4	8	L
16/07	Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	1-2	8	6	L
12/07	CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2	1-1	2-3	11	4	L
05/07	Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
01/07	SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2	–	3-0	–	–	W
21/06	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
17/06	Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2	1-1	2-3	7	5	L
07/06	Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
31/05	Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
28/05	Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fluminense SC vs Tubarao?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fluminense SC win (38%). Probabilities: Fluminense SC 38%, draw 30%, Tubarao 32%.

How many goals are expected in Fluminense SC vs Tubarao?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Fluminense SC 1.26 · Tubarao 1.13), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fluminense SC vs Tubarao?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.