Football · Brazil Catarinense 2 · 22/07, 20:00

Prediction: Juventus Jaragua Do Sul vs CA Metropolitano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Juventus Jaragua Do Sul1.14

CA Metropolitano1.25

1X2

32% 30% 38%

Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Draw CA Metropolitano

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWDWLW

CA Metropolitano 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDWWLW

Head-to-head

Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 2–3–1 CA Metropolitano (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Metropolitano (rating 1489 vs 1561).
H2H favours Juventus Jaragua Do Sul: 2-3-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul	CA Metropolitano
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.1	2.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/33/44%	38/38/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.9	1.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.2	5.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.85

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 3.1

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.13 → 4.13	Pinn 4.13
X	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 2.90
2	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:01	4.13	2.90	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 2–3–1 CA Metropolitano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Brazil Catarinense 2	CA Metropolitano	2-0 HT 2-0	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul
27/07/25 Brazil Catarinense 2	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul	0-0 HT 0-0	CA Metropolitano
09/06/24 Brazil Catarinense 2	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul	0-0 HT 0-0	CA Metropolitano
16/07/23 Brazil Catarinense 2	CA Metropolitano	0-3 HT 0-1	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul
18/04/21 Brazil Campeonato Catarinense	CA Metropolitano	3-3 HT 2-1	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul
14/07/18 Brazil Catarinense 2	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul	1-0 HT 0-0	CA Metropolitano

Standings · Brazil Catarinense 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	16	12	2	2	33	9	38
2	CA Metropolitano	16	10	2	4	31	18	32
3	Caravaggio SC	16	9	4	3	44	19	31
4	Blumenau EC	16	8	4	4	32	13	28
5	Tubarao	16	6	5	5	22	17	23
6	Fluminense SC	16	5	3	8	14	21	18
7	Nacao	16	4	6	6	16	24	18
8	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul	16	5	2	9	16	21	17
9	Guarani de Palhoca	16	4	5	7	15	24	17
10	SC Jaragua	16	0	1	15	6	63	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul	CA Metropolitano
Fluminense SC	3-0 W	3-1 W
Hercilio Luz	0-1 L	0-3 L
Guarani de Palhoca	1-0 W	3-1 W
Blumenau EC	1-1 D	1-4 L
SC Jaragua	8-1 W	6-1 W
Tubarao	0-2 L	3-2 W
Nacao	0-1 L	0-0 D
Caravaggio SC	0-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juventus Jaragua Do Sul

WLLLLWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2	3-0	3-0	4	6	W
16/07	Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
12/07	Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
08/07	Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
04/07	SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2	4-0	8-1	11	4	W
21/06	Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
18/06	Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2	0-1	0-1	11	7	L
07/06	Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2	–	0-3	–	–	L
30/05	CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
28/05	Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	1-0	4	4	W

CA Metropolitano

WWWWLDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2	–	6-1	12	2	W
15/07	Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2	0-2	1-4	10	6	L
12/07	Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2	1-1	3-2	4	4	W
05/07	Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	2-1	8	12	W
02/07	Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	0-0	6	9	D
21/06	Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2	0-1	0-3	0	11	L
14/06	Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
11/06	Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2	2-1	3-1	6	2	W
30/05	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
27/05	SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2	–	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juventus Jaragua Do Sul vs CA Metropolitano?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CA Metropolitano win (38%). Probabilities: Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 32%, draw 30%, CA Metropolitano 38%.

How many goals are expected in Juventus Jaragua Do Sul vs CA Metropolitano?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 1.14 · CA Metropolitano 1.25), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Juventus Jaragua Do Sul vs CA Metropolitano?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.