Football · Brazil Catarinense 2 · 19/07, 20:00

Prediction: Juventus Jaragua Do Sul vs Fluminense SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.18Total

Juventus Jaragua Do Sul1.21

Fluminense SC0.97

1X2

41% 30% 29%

Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Draw Fluminense SC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Fluminense SC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 3–2–1 Fluminense SC (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 1466 · Fluminense SC 1460

	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul	Draw	Fluminense SC
Our model	40%	32%	28%
Market	41%	29%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Juventus Jaragua Do Sul: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul	Fluminense SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	0.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/44/44%	0/75/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.6	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.10

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:11 +1’	2.15	3.10	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 3–2–1 Fluminense SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/05/26 Brazil Catarinense 2	Fluminense SC	0-1 HT 0-0	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul
08/06/25 Brazil Catarinense 2	Fluminense SC	1-1 HT 1-1	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul
25/07/19 Brazil Catarinense 2	Fluminense SC	1-2 HT 0-2	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul
16/06/19 Brazil Catarinense 2	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul	2-0 HT 1-0	Fluminense SC
25/07/18 Brazil Catarinense 2	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul	0-1 HT 0-0	Fluminense SC
24/06/18 Brazil Catarinense 2	Fluminense SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul

Standings · Brazil Catarinense 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	15	11	2	2	31	9	35
2	CA Metropolitano	16	10	2	4	31	18	32
3	Caravaggio SC	15	9	3	3	42	17	30
4	Blumenau EC	15	8	3	4	31	12	27
5	Tubarao	15	6	5	4	22	15	23
6	Fluminense SC	15	5	3	7	14	18	18
7	Nacao	15	4	5	6	14	22	17
8	Guarani de Palhoca	15	4	4	7	14	23	16
9	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul	15	4	2	9	13	21	14
10	SC Jaragua	16	0	1	15	6	63	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul	Fluminense SC
Hercilio Luz	0-1 L	2-4 L
Guarani de Palhoca	1-0 W	1-1 D
Blumenau EC	1-1 D	1-1 D
SC Jaragua	8-1 W	1-0 W
Tubarao	0-2 L	0-1 L
Nacao	0-1 L	2-1 W
Caravaggio SC	0-3 L	0-1 L
CA Metropolitano	0-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juventus Jaragua Do Sul

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/07	Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
12/07	Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
08/07	Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
04/07	SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2	4-0	8-1	11	4	W
21/06	Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
18/06	Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2	0-1	0-1	11	7	L
07/06	Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2	–	0-3	–	–	L
30/05	CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
28/05	Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
24/05	Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	0-1	1	4	L

Fluminense SC

LLLLLWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/07	Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	1-1	5	9	D
12/07	Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
04/07	Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
28/06	Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2	1-1	2-4	2	6	L
21/06	SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
14/06	Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	0-1	6	0	L
11/06	CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2	1-2	1-3	10	2	L
31/05	Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
28/05	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
23/05	Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juventus Jaragua Do Sul vs Fluminense SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Juventus Jaragua Do Sul win (41%). Probabilities: Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 41%, draw 30%, Fluminense SC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Juventus Jaragua Do Sul vs Fluminense SC?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 1.21 · Fluminense SC 0.97), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Juventus Jaragua Do Sul vs Fluminense SC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.