Football · Brazil Catarinense 2 · 12/07, 22:00

Prediction: Nacao vs Fluminense SC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Nacao1.14
Fluminense SC0.88
1X2
41% 31% 28%
Nacao Draw Fluminense SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Nacao 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DDWLLLWDDL
Fluminense SC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WDLLLLLWLD
Head-to-head
Nacao 2–2–0 Fluminense SC (4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nacao 1472 · Fluminense SC 1453
NacaoDrawFluminense SC
Our model40%33%27%
Market42%29%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Nacao: 2-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NacaoFluminense SC
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.40.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.80.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/33/44%0/63/38%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.32.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.1 / 0.44.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nacao 220 Fluminense SC

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
Brazil Catarinense 2
Fluminense SC1-1
HT 0-1
Nacao
22/06/25
Brazil Catarinense 2
Nacao0-0
HT 0-0
Fluminense SC
24/08/21
Brazil Catarinense 2
Nacao2-0
HT 1-0
Fluminense SC
15/07/21
Brazil Catarinense 2
Fluminense SC1-4
HT 0-1
Nacao

Standings · Brazil Catarinense 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hercilio Luz 13922 28929
2 CA Metropolitano 13823 211126
3 Blumenau EC 13733 27924
4 Caravaggio SC 13733 311624
5 Tubarao 13652 191023
6 Guarani de Palhoca 13436 132115
7 Fluminense SC 13427 111614
8 Nacao 13355 112014
9 Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 13328 122011
10 SC Jaragua 130112 5461

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNacaoFluminense SC
Tubarao 0-1 L 0-1 L
CA Metropolitano 0-0 D 1-3 L
Guarani de Palhoca 0-0 D 0-1 L
Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 1-0 W 0-1 L
Hercilio Luz 1-2 L 2-4 L
Blumenau EC 0-6 L 1-1 D
Caravaggio SC 1-4 L 0-1 L
SC Jaragua 3-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 4 L 1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Nacao (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nacao

DDWLLLWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Tubarao
Brazil Catarinense 2
0-1 0-1 54 L
02/07 CA Metropolitano
Brazil Catarinense 2
0-0 0-0 39 D
21/06 Guarani de Palhoca
Brazil Catarinense 2
0-0 0-0 26 D
18/06 Juventus Jaragua Do Sul
Brazil Catarinense 2
1-0 1-0 57 W
07/06 Hercilio Luz
Brazil Catarinense 2
0-1 1-2 78 L
03/06 Blumenau EC
Brazil Catarinense 2
0-3 0-6 14 L
28/05 Caravaggio SC
Brazil Catarinense 2
0-2 1-4 32 L
21/05 SC Jaragua
Brazil Catarinense 2
3-0 W
17/05 Fluminense SC
Brazil Catarinense 2
1-0 1-1 211 D
13/05 Tubarao
Brazil Catarinense 2
0-0 0-0 28 D

Fluminense SC

WDLLLLLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Blumenau EC
Brazil Catarinense 2
0-1 1-1 76 D
28/06 Hercilio Luz
Brazil Catarinense 2
1-1 2-4 26 L
21/06 SC Jaragua
Brazil Catarinense 2
1-0 W
14/06 Caravaggio SC
Brazil Catarinense 2
0-0 0-1 60 L
11/06 CA Metropolitano
Brazil Catarinense 2
1-2 1-3 102 L
31/05 Tubarao
Brazil Catarinense 2
0-0 0-1 17 L
28/05 Juventus Jaragua Do Sul
Brazil Catarinense 2
0-0 0-1 34 L
23/05 Guarani de Palhoca
Brazil Catarinense 2
0-1 L
17/05 Nacao
Brazil Catarinense 2
0-1 1-1 511 D
10/05 Blumenau EC
Brazil Catarinense 2
0-0 1-0 31 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nacao vs Fluminense SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nacao win (41%). Probabilities: Nacao 41%, draw 31%, Fluminense SC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Nacao vs Fluminense SC?

The model expects 2.01 goals (Nacao 1.14 · Fluminense SC 0.88), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nacao vs Fluminense SC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.