Prediction: Nacao vs Fluminense SC
| Nacao | Draw | Fluminense SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 33% | 27% |
| Market | 42% | 29% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Nacao: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nacao | Fluminense SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/33/44% | 0/63/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.3 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.4 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nacao 2–2–0 Fluminense SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Fluminense SC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Nacao |
| 22/06/25 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Nacao | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fluminense SC |
| 24/08/21 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Nacao | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Fluminense SC |
| 15/07/21 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Fluminense SC | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Nacao |
Standings · Brazil Catarinense 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | CA Metropolitano | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Blumenau EC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Caravaggio SC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 16 | 24 |
| 5 | Tubarao | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani de Palhoca | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 15 |
| 7 | Fluminense SC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 14 |
| 8 | Nacao | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 14 |
| 9 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 11 |
| 10 | SC Jaragua | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 46 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nacao | Fluminense SC |
|---|---|---|
| Tubarao | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| CA Metropolitano | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Guarani de Palhoca | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Hercilio Luz | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Blumenau EC | 0-6 L | 1-1 D |
| Caravaggio SC | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| SC Jaragua | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Nacao (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nacao
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/07 | CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 21/06 | Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 18/06 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 03/06 | Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-3 | 0-6 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/05 | Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 21/05 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 11 | D |
| 13/05 | Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
Fluminense SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 11/06 | CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 28/05 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 10/05 | Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nacao vs Fluminense SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nacao win (41%). Probabilities: Nacao 41%, draw 31%, Fluminense SC 28%.
How many goals are expected in Nacao vs Fluminense SC?
The model expects 2.01 goals (Nacao 1.14 · Fluminense SC 0.88), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nacao vs Fluminense SC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.

