Football · Brazil Catarinense 2 · 12/07, 20:00
Prediction: Tubarao vs CA Metropolitano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Tubarao1.1
CA Metropolitano0.99
1X2
Tubarao
Draw
CA Metropolitano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tubarao
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
CA Metropolitano
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tubarao
1–3–2
CA Metropolitano
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tubarao 1530 · CA Metropolitano 1552
| Tubarao | Draw | CA Metropolitano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 33% | 31% |
| Market | 38% | 30% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CA Metropolitano: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tubarao | CA Metropolitano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/75/0% | 44/33/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5 | 2.2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.3 | 6.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tubarao 1–3–2 CA Metropolitano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Brazil Catarinense 2 | CA Metropolitano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tubarao |
| 03/08/25 Brazil Catarinense 2 | CA Metropolitano | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Tubarao |
| 31/07/25 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Tubarao | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Metropolitano |
| 08/06/25 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Tubarao | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CA Metropolitano |
| 02/06/24 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Tubarao | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CA Metropolitano |
| 02/07/22 Brazil Catarinense 2 | CA Metropolitano | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Tubarao |
Standings · Brazil Catarinense 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | CA Metropolitano | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Blumenau EC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Caravaggio SC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 16 | 24 |
| 5 | Tubarao | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani de Palhoca | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 15 |
| 7 | Fluminense SC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 14 |
| 8 | Nacao | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 14 |
| 9 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 11 |
| 10 | SC Jaragua | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 46 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tubarao | CA Metropolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Nacao | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| SC Jaragua | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Blumenau EC | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Guarani de Palhoca | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Fluminense SC | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Hercilio Luz | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Caravaggio SC | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Metropolitano (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tubarao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/07 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/06 | Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 28/05 | Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 13/05 | Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
CA Metropolitano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 12 | W |
| 02/07 | Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 21/06 | Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 11 | L |
| 14/06 | Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/06 | Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 12 | W |
| 17/05 | Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tubarao vs CA Metropolitano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tubarao win (37%). Probabilities: Tubarao 37%, draw 31%, CA Metropolitano 32%.
How many goals are expected in Tubarao vs CA Metropolitano?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Tubarao 1.1 · CA Metropolitano 0.99), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Tubarao vs CA Metropolitano?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.