Football · USA MLS · 01/11, 22:30
Prediction: Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls
Team pages: Nashville SC · New York Red Bulls
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Nashville SC1.93
New York Red Bulls0.84
1X2
Nashville SC
Draw
New York Red Bulls
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Nashville SC
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
New York Red Bulls
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nashville SC
2–2–2
New York Red Bulls
(6 last)
- New York Red Bulls0-1Nashville SC
- Nashville SC2-1New York Red Bulls
- New York Red Bulls2-0Nashville SC
- New York Red Bulls0-0Nashville SC
- Nashville SC0-0New York Red Bulls
- Nashville SC0-1New York Red Bulls
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nashville SC (rating 1583 vs 1475).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nashville SC | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.6 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.2 | 2.2 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nashville SC 2–2–2 New York Red Bulls
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/26 USA MLS | New York Red Bulls | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Nashville SC |
| 15/05/25 USA MLS | Nashville SC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | New York Red Bulls |
| 02/03/25 USA MLS | New York Red Bulls | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Nashville SC |
| 16/06/24 USA MLS | New York Red Bulls | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nashville SC |
| 25/02/24 USA MLS | Nashville SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | New York Red Bulls |
| 22/10/23 USA MLS | Nashville SC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | New York Red Bulls |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 66 | 23 | 71 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 58 |
| 3 | Inter Miami CF | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 75 | 55 | 56 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 48 | 52 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 59 | 48 | 50 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 62 | 50 | 47 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 62 | 74 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 66 | 73 | 43 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 41 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 59 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 50 | 60 | 39 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 44 | 38 |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 57 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40 | 56 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 36 | 66 | 25 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nashville SC | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Inter Miami CF | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| New York City FC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: New York Red Bulls (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nashville SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | CF Montreal USA MLS |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/10 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 15/10 | Sporting Kansas City USA MLS |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 11/10 | Austin FC USA MLS |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Toronto FC USA MLS |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Inter Miami CF USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | Toronto FC USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | New York City FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | FC Cincinnati USA MLS |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
New York Red Bulls
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Inter Miami CF USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Toronto FC USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 15/10 | DC United USA MLS |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | San Diego FC USA MLS |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/10 | St. Louis City SC USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | New York City FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Columbus Crew USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/09 | Los Angeles FC USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Seattle Sounders USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nashville SC win (62%). Probabilities: Nashville SC 62%, draw 23%, New York Red Bulls 15%.
How many goals are expected in Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Nashville SC 1.93 · New York Red Bulls 0.84), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.