Football · USA MLS · 31/10, 19:00

Prediction: Columbus Crew vs DC United

Team pages: Columbus Crew · DC United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Columbus Crew2.07

DC United1

1X2

61% 22% 17%

Columbus Crew Draw DC United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Columbus Crew 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWLWWW

DC United 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWDLDLWLLL

Head-to-head

Columbus Crew 3–2–1 DC United (6 last)

DC United2-1Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew2-1DC United
DC United1-2Columbus Crew
DC United2-2Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew1-1DC United
DC United0-2Columbus Crew

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Columbus Crew (rating 1543 vs 1438).
H2H favours Columbus Crew: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Columbus Crew	DC United
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.3	1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.5	2.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:00

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.47 → 1.48▲	Pinn 1.48
X	4.76 → 4.84▲	Pinn 4.84
2	5.67 → 5.78▲	Pinn 5.78

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:42 +5’	1.47	4.76	5.67
02:46 +14’	1.48▲	4.84▲	5.78▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Columbus Crew 3–2–1 DC United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/09/26 USA MLS	DC United	2-1 HT 2-0	Columbus Crew
20/07/25 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	2-1 HT 1-0	DC United
30/03/25 USA MLS	DC United	1-2 HT 1-1	Columbus Crew
29/09/24 USA MLS	DC United	2-2 HT 1-0	Columbus Crew
07/04/24 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	1-1 HT 0-0	DC United
09/04/23 USA MLS	DC United	0-2 HT 0-1	Columbus Crew

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	31	21	7	3	66	23	70
2	New England Revolution	31	17	4	10	51	42	55
3	Inter Miami CF	31	15	10	6	73	53	55
4	Chicago Fire	31	15	6	10	55	46	51
5	Charlotte FC	31	13	8	10	55	48	47
6	Philadelphia Union	31	13	7	11	62	50	46
7	Orlando City SC	31	12	6	13	60	72	42
8	FC Cincinnati	31	11	9	11	64	71	42
9	New York Red Bulls	31	11	6	14	41	56	39
10	Columbus Crew	31	11	5	15	50	49	38
11	Toronto FC	31	8	12	11	48	59	36
12	New York City FC	31	8	11	12	45	43	35
13	DC United	31	7	12	12	38	55	33
14	Atlanta United	31	8	6	17	39	54	30
15	CF Montreal	31	6	7	18	36	62	25

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Columbus Crew	DC United
FC Cincinnati	2-0 W	0-2 L
Charlotte FC	3-1 W	1-2 L
Orlando City SC	2-3 L	1-4 L
Inter Miami CF	2-1 W	0-4 L
New York Red Bulls	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Columbus Crew (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Columbus Crew

LWLLWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Toronto FC USA MLS	2-0	4-2	4	2	W
18/10	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
15/10	Charlotte FC USA MLS	1-1	3-1	10	2	W
11/10	Orlando City SC USA MLS	1-2	2-3	11	5	L
28/09	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-1	2-1	9	11	W
20/09	CF Montreal USA MLS	0-0	2-0	1	3	W
13/09	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
10/09	DC United USA MLS	0-2	1-2	5	5	L
06/09	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	1-0	3-0	1	4	W
30/08	New England Revolution USA MLS	1-2	1-3	5	2	L

DC United

DWDLDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
22/10	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	1-1	1-2	9	4	L
18/10	Orlando City SC USA MLS	1-2	1-4	8	4	L
15/10	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	2-0	2-1	3	6	W
11/10	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	0-2	0-4	2	0	L
27/09	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	1-2	3-3	10	1	D
20/09	Charlotte FC USA MLS	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
13/09	Atlanta United USA MLS	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
10/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	2-0	2-1	3	5	W
30/08	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	5	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Columbus Crew vs DC United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Columbus Crew win (61%). Probabilities: Columbus Crew 61%, draw 22%, DC United 17%.

How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew vs DC United?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Columbus Crew 2.07 · DC United 1), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs DC United?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.