Football · USA MLS · 31/10, 20:00

Prediction: Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas

Team pages: Sporting Kansas City · FC Dallas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.78Total

Sporting Kansas City1.66

FC Dallas2.12

1X2

30% 22% 48%

Sporting Kansas City Draw FC Dallas

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting Kansas City 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLDLLL

FC Dallas 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWDWLWDW

Head-to-head

Sporting Kansas City 1–1–4 FC Dallas (6 last)

FC Dallas4-3Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City2-4FC Dallas
FC Dallas2-1Sporting Kansas City
FC Dallas2-1Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City1-1FC Dallas
Sporting Kansas City3-2FC Dallas

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Dallas (rating 1433 vs 1556).
H2H favours FC Dallas: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting Kansas City	FC Dallas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.6	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1.1	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.5	1.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.92

Under 3.251.92

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.52 → 3.56▲	Pinn 3.56
X	3.97 → 4.03▲	Pinn 4.03
2	1.91 → 1.93▲	Pinn 1.93

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:47 +3’	3.52	3.97	1.91
02:54 +7’	3.56▲	4.03▲	1.93▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting Kansas City 1–1–4 FC Dallas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 USA MLS	FC Dallas	4-3 HT 3-2	Sporting Kansas City
15/06/25 USA MLS	Sporting Kansas City	2-4 HT 1-1	FC Dallas
30/03/25 USA MLS	FC Dallas	2-1 HT 2-1	Sporting Kansas City
20/10/24 USA MLS	FC Dallas	2-1 HT 2-0	Sporting Kansas City
11/07/24 USA US Open Cup	Sporting Kansas City	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Dallas
08/07/24 USA MLS	Sporting Kansas City	3-2 HT 2-1	FC Dallas

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	31	16	7	8	63	32	55
2	FC Dallas	31	15	9	7	58	47	54
3	St. Louis City SC	31	14	9	8	56	44	51
4	San Jose Earthquakes	31	13	9	9	52	45	48
5	Houston Dynamo	31	13	9	9	41	39	48
6	Los Angeles FC	32	12	11	9	50	35	47
7	Seattle Sounders	31	11	10	10	41	39	43
8	Colorado Rapids	31	12	6	13	42	41	42
9	LA Galaxy	32	10	11	11	45	54	41
10	Real Salt Lake	31	11	6	14	48	48	39
11	Portland Timbers	31	10	7	14	54	58	37
12	San Diego FC	31	8	11	12	55	58	35
13	Minnesota United	31	8	11	12	47	55	35
14	Austin FC	31	8	10	13	40	57	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	31	6	4	21	37	77	22

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting Kansas City	FC Dallas
Austin FC	1-2 L	0-0 D
Portland Timbers	3-3 D	2-1 W
Seattle Sounders	1-2 L	1-0 W
Houston Dynamo	2-0 W	2-2 D
Los Angeles FC	3-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Dallas (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting Kansas City

LLWLWLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Austin FC USA MLS	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
18/10	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	1-2	1-3	7	6	L
15/10	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-3	0-4	4	0	L
11/10	Portland Timbers USA MLS	1-2	3-3	6	1	D
02/10	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	1-0	1-2	6	2	L
27/09	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	2-0	2-0	3	6	W
20/09	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	3-0	3-4	3	7	L
13/09	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	2-0	3-1	6	4	W
06/09	FC Dallas USA MLS	2-3	3-4	7	1	L
30/08	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	0-1	0-3	1	4	L

FC Dallas

DWWWDWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	0-0	3-0	6	2	W
18/10	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	1-0	2-2	5	9	D
15/10	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
11/10	Charlotte FC USA MLS	1-0	2-3	3	2	L
27/09	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
20/09	Austin FC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
13/09	Portland Timbers USA MLS	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
10/09	Minnesota United USA MLS	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
06/09	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	3-2	4-3	3	1	W
31/08	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	1-2	3-3	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Dallas win (48%). Probabilities: Sporting Kansas City 30%, draw 22%, FC Dallas 48%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?

The model expects 3.78 goals (Sporting Kansas City 1.66 · FC Dallas 2.12), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.