Prediction: Northern AFC vs Cashmere Technical
| Northern AFC | Draw | Cashmere Technical | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| Market | 4% | 7% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cashmere Technical (rating 1464 vs 1644).
- High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Northern AFC | Cashmere Technical | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.4 | 4.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 2.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 90/10/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 3.4 / 9.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Northern AFC 0–0–1 Cashmere Technical
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 New Zealand Southern League | Cashmere Technical | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Northern AFC |
Standings · New Zealand Southern League · Southern League 2026
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cashmere Technical | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 58 | 6 | 34 |
| 2 | Ferrymead Bays | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 3 | Coastal Spirit | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 25 |
| 4 | Nelson Suburbs | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 44 | 25 | 21 |
| 5 | Nomads United | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 21 |
| 6 | Northern AFC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 17 |
| 7 | Christchurch United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| 8 | Dunedin City Royals FC | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 13 |
| 9 | Selwyn United | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 41 | 7 |
| 10 | Wanaka AFC | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Northern AFC | Cashmere Technical |
|---|---|---|
| Nelson Suburbs | 0-11 L | 6-0 W |
| Ferrymead Bays | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Nomads United | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Coastal Spirit | 1-2 L | 5-1 W |
| Selwyn United | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Dunedin City Royals FC | 0-1 L | 9-0 W |
| Christchurch United | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 6 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Cashmere Technical (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Northern AFC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 0-11 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Cup |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Wanaka AFC New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Nomads United New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/06 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Wanaka AFC New Zealand Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/04 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Cashmere Technical
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Cup |
4-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Nomads United New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 12/06 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Cup |
3-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Southern League |
5-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Southern League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Northern AFC vs Cashmere Technical?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cashmere Technical win (82%). Probabilities: Northern AFC 8%, draw 10%, Cashmere Technical 82%.
How many goals are expected in Northern AFC vs Cashmere Technical?
The model expects 5 goals (Northern AFC 1.5 · Cashmere Technical 3.5), with a 56% chance of under 5.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Northern AFC vs Cashmere Technical?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.