Prediction: Selwyn United vs Northern AFC
Team pages: Selwyn United · Northern AFC
See it on the live radar ↗- Northern AFC3-1Selwyn United
| Selwyn United | Draw | Northern AFC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 24% | 43% |
| Market | 34% | 22% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Northern AFC (rating 1387 vs 1466).
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Selwyn United | Northern AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.9 | 1.1 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.6 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/20/80% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.2 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Selwyn United 0–0–1 Northern AFC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 New Zealand Southern League | Northern AFC | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Selwyn United |
Standings · New Zealand Southern League · Southern League 2026
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cashmere Technical | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 71 | 7 | 43 |
| 2 | Ferrymead Bays | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 18 | 32 |
| 3 | Nomads United | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 30 |
| 4 | Coastal Spirit | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 28 |
| 5 | Nelson Suburbs | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 25 |
| 6 | Northern AFC | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 20 |
| 7 | Christchurch United | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 24 | 17 |
| 8 | Dunedin City Royals FC | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 16 |
| 9 | Wanaka AFC | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 48 | 10 |
| 10 | Selwyn United | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 47 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Selwyn United | Northern AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Wanaka AFC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Ferrymead Bays | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Nelson Suburbs | 1-2 L | 0-11 L |
| Dunedin City Royals FC | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Coastal Spirit | 0-5 L | 0-5 L |
| Cashmere Technical | 1-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Northern AFC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Selwyn United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Wanaka AFC New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | Cashmere Technical New Zealand Southern League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Wanaka AFC New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Christchurch United New Zealand Cup |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
Northern AFC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Southern League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Cashmere Technical New Zealand Southern League |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/07 | Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 0-11 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Cup |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Wanaka AFC New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Nomads United New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/06 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Wanaka AFC New Zealand Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Selwyn United vs Northern AFC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Northern AFC win (43%). Probabilities: Selwyn United 34%, draw 23%, Northern AFC 43%.
How many goals are expected in Selwyn United vs Northern AFC?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Selwyn United 1.62 · Northern AFC 1.85), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Selwyn United vs Northern AFC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.