Football · New Zealand Southern League · 22/08, 02:00

Prediction: Cashmere Technical vs Dunedin City Royals FC

Team pages: Cashmere Technical · Dunedin City Royals FC

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.53Total

Cashmere Technical3.26

Dunedin City Royals FC1.26

1X2

82% 10% 8%

Cashmere Technical Draw Dunedin City Royals FC

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

Cashmere Technical 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

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Dunedin City Royals FC 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Cashmere Technical 5–1–0 Dunedin City Royals FC (6 last)

Dunedin City Royals FC0-9Cashmere Technical
Dunedin City Royals FC0-6Cashmere Technical
Cashmere Technical3-3Dunedin City Royals FC
Dunedin City Royals FC2-3Cashmere Technical
Cashmere Technical2-0Dunedin City Royals FC
Dunedin City Royals FC1-5Cashmere Technical

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cashmere Technical 1656 · Dunedin City Royals FC 1441

	Cashmere Technical	Draw	Dunedin City Royals FC
Our model	75%	14%	11%
Market	87%	7%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 4.53 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 87%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cashmere Technical (rating 1656 vs 1441).
H2H favours Cashmere Technical: 5-1-0.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cashmere Technical	Dunedin City Royals FC
Goals for / against (FT)	4 / 0.9	0.8 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	2.6 / 0.4	0.4 / 1.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	90/10/0%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 7.6	1.9 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.08

X13.00

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3)1.80

2 (+3)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.98

Under 4.51.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.08 → 1.04▼	Bet365 1.04
X	13.00 → 21.00▲	Bet365 21.00
2	15.00 → 23.00▲	Bet365 23.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
18:48 +13’	1.08	13.00	15.00
00:16 +6’	1.04▼	21.00▲	23.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cashmere Technical 5–1–0 Dunedin City Royals FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 New Zealand Cup	Dunedin City Royals FC	0-9 HT 0-4	Cashmere Technical
23/05/26 New Zealand Southern League	Dunedin City Royals FC	0-6 HT 0-5	Cashmere Technical
31/08/25 New Zealand Southern League	Cashmere Technical	3-3 HT 2-2	Dunedin City Royals FC
07/06/25 New Zealand Southern League	Dunedin City Royals FC	2-3 HT 1-0	Cashmere Technical
22/06/24 New Zealand Southern League	Cashmere Technical	2-0 HT 0-0	Dunedin City Royals FC
29/03/24 New Zealand Southern League	Dunedin City Royals FC	1-5 HT 1-2	Cashmere Technical

Standings · New Zealand Southern League · Southern League 2026

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cashmere Technical	15	14	1	0	71	7	43
2	Ferrymead Bays	16	10	2	4	32	18	32
3	Nomads United	16	9	3	4	28	22	30
4	Coastal Spirit	16	9	1	6	35	33	28
5	Nelson Suburbs	16	8	1	7	50	31	25
6	Northern AFC	16	6	2	8	19	35	20
7	Christchurch United	16	4	5	7	21	24	17
8	Dunedin City Royals FC	16	5	1	10	14	36	16
9	Wanaka AFC	15	3	1	11	15	48	10
10	Selwyn United	16	2	1	13	16	47	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cashmere Technical	Dunedin City Royals FC
Coastal Spirit	5-1 W	0-2 L
Christchurch United	5-0 W	2-0 W
Northern AFC	3-0 W	0-4 L
Nomads United	2-2 D	0-2 L
Selwyn United	4-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cashmere Technical (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cashmere Technical

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Napier City Rovers New Zealand Cup	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
09/08	Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League	3-0	5-1	12	1	W
01/08	Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League	4-0	5-0	7	4	W
26/07	Miramar Rangers New Zealand Cup	1-0	2-1	8	1	W
18/07	Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
04/07	Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Cup	4-0	9-0	–	–	W
27/06	Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League	4-0	4-0	8	0	W
21/06	Nomads United New Zealand Southern League	1-0	2-2	5	1	D
12/06	Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Cup	3-2	4-3	5	3	W
06/06	Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League	3-1	4-1	12	5	W

Dunedin City Royals FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League	0-3	0-4	8	1	L
01/08	Wanaka AFC New Zealand Southern League	2-0	2-1	7	5	W
18/07	Nomads United New Zealand Southern League	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
11/07	Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League	1-0	2-1	8	0	W
04/07	Cashmere Technical New Zealand Cup	0-4	0-9	–	–	L
28/06	Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Southern League	0-4	1-4	3	6	L
21/06	Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
06/06	Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League	0-0	2-0	3	0	W
23/05	Cashmere Technical New Zealand Southern League	0-5	0-6	–	–	L
16/05	Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cashmere Technical vs Dunedin City Royals FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cashmere Technical win (82%). Probabilities: Cashmere Technical 82%, draw 10%, Dunedin City Royals FC 8%.

How many goals are expected in Cashmere Technical vs Dunedin City Royals FC?

The model expects 4.53 goals (Cashmere Technical 3.26 · Dunedin City Royals FC 1.26), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cashmere Technical vs Dunedin City Royals FC?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.