Football · New Zealand Northern League · 15/08, 08:30

Prediction: Manukau United vs Western Springs AFC

Team pages: Manukau United · Western Springs AFC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Manukau United1.74

Western Springs AFC1.84

1X2

36% 24% 40%

Manukau United Draw Western Springs AFC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Manukau United 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

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Western Springs AFC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Manukau United 1–5 Western Springs AFC (6 last)

Western Springs AFC5-0Manukau United
Manukau United1-2Western Springs AFC
Western Springs AFC3-2Manukau United
Western Springs AFC4-3Manukau United
Western Springs AFC0-1Manukau United
Manukau United0-1Western Springs AFC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Western Springs AFC (rating 1381 vs 1451).
H2H favours Western Springs AFC: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Manukau United	Western Springs AFC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 3.6	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.6	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/30/70%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 1.9	1.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.84

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:09

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	9.41 → 5.47▼	Pinn 5.47
X	6.62 → 6.74▲	Pinn 6.74
2	1.15 → 1.25▲	Pinn 1.25

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 13.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:44	9.41	6.62	1.15
06:08 +1’	5.47▼	6.74▲	1.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Manukau United 1–0–5 Western Springs AFC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 New Zealand Northern League	Western Springs AFC	5-0 HT 1-0	Manukau United
26/08/23 New Zealand Northern League	Manukau United	1-2 HT 0-1	Western Springs AFC
20/05/23 New Zealand Northern League	Western Springs AFC	3-2 HT 2-0	Manukau United
30/07/22 New Zealand Northern League	Western Springs AFC	4-3 HT 1-1	Manukau United
06/06/22 New Zealand Cup	Western Springs AFC	0-1 HT 0-0	Manukau United
23/04/22 New Zealand Northern League	Manukau United	0-1 HT 0-1	Western Springs AFC

Standings · New Zealand Northern League · Northern League 2026

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Birkenhead United	19	17	2	0	53	11	53
2	Auckland City	21	13	3	5	50	19	42
3	Eastern Suburbs Auckland	19	12	4	3	32	7	40
4	Auckland United FC	19	10	5	4	39	16	35
5	Fencibles United	19	11	1	7	48	34	34
6	East Coast Bays	20	10	4	6	33	30	34
7	Auckland FC II	20	7	3	10	33	36	24
8	Western Springs AFC	19	6	3	10	27	36	21
9	Melville United	19	5	2	12	22	42	17
10	Bay Olympic	19	4	3	12	19	46	15
11	Tauranga City AFC	19	3	3	13	22	43	12
12	Manukau United	19	1	1	17	12	70	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Manukau United	Western Springs AFC
Birkenhead United	1-6 L	1-2 L
Auckland United FC	0-6 L	0-0 D
Eastern Suburbs Auckland	0-7 L	0-1 L
Auckland City	0-5 L	0-3 L
Auckland FC II	2-3 L	1-0 W
East Coast Bays	0-2 L	2-2 D
Bay Olympic	0-1 L	3-0 W
Fencibles United	1-2 L	0-6 L
Tauranga City AFC	3-2 W	2-4 L
Melville United	0-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 9 L	2 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Western Springs AFC (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manukau United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Birkenhead United New Zealand Northern League	0-4	1-6	1	2	L
01/08	Auckland United FC New Zealand Northern League	0-1	0-6	2	3	L
18/07	Eastern Suburbs Auckland New Zealand Northern League	0-4	0-7	0	1	L
11/07	Auckland City New Zealand Northern League	0-1	0-5	2	1	L
27/06	Auckland FC II New Zealand Northern League	1-2	2-3	3	1	L
20/06	East Coast Bays New Zealand Northern League	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
06/06	Bay Olympic New Zealand Northern League	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
29/05	Fencibles United New Zealand Northern League	1-1	1-2	3	1	L
23/05	Tauranga City AFC New Zealand Northern League	1-1	3-2	4	4	W
16/05	Melville United New Zealand Northern League	0-1	0-2	2	1	L

Western Springs AFC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Melville United New Zealand Northern League	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
01/08	Birkenhead United New Zealand Northern League	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
18/07	Auckland United FC New Zealand Northern League	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
11/07	Eastern Suburbs Auckland New Zealand Northern League	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
27/06	Auckland City New Zealand Northern League	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
19/06	Auckland FC II New Zealand Northern League	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
06/06	East Coast Bays New Zealand Northern League	0-2	2-2	9	4	D
29/05	Bay Olympic New Zealand Northern League	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
23/05	Fencibles United New Zealand Northern League	0-3	0-6	3	5	L
16/05	Tauranga City AFC New Zealand Northern League	1-3	2-4	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manukau United vs Western Springs AFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Western Springs AFC win (40%). Probabilities: Manukau United 36%, draw 24%, Western Springs AFC 40%.

How many goals are expected in Manukau United vs Western Springs AFC?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Manukau United 1.74 · Western Springs AFC 1.84), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Manukau United vs Western Springs AFC?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.