Football · New Zealand Central League · 08/08, 02:30
Prediction: Waterside Karori vs Napier City Rovers
Team pages: Waterside Karori · Napier City Rovers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
Waterside Karori1.38
Napier City Rovers1.83
1X2
Waterside Karori
Draw
Napier City Rovers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Waterside Karori
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Napier City Rovers
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Waterside Karori
1–1–4
Napier City Rovers
(6 last)
- Napier City Rovers0-0Waterside Karori
- Napier City Rovers5-0Waterside Karori
- Napier City Rovers6-0Waterside Karori
- Waterside Karori2-1Napier City Rovers
- Napier City Rovers7-1Waterside Karori
- Waterside Karori1-5Napier City Rovers
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Napier City Rovers (rating 1500 vs 1623).
- H2H favours Napier City Rovers: 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Waterside Karori | Napier City Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 67/33/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.3 | 3.9 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Waterside Karori 1–1–4 Napier City Rovers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/26 New Zealand Cup | Napier City Rovers | 0-0 | Waterside Karori |
| 10/05/26 New Zealand Central League | Napier City Rovers | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Waterside Karori |
| 03/08/25 New Zealand Central League | Napier City Rovers | 6-0 HT 4-0 | Waterside Karori |
| 03/05/25 New Zealand Central League | Waterside Karori | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Napier City Rovers |
| 23/06/24 New Zealand Central League | Napier City Rovers | 7-1 HT 0-1 | Waterside Karori |
| 06/04/24 New Zealand Central League | Waterside Karori | 1-5 HT 0-3 | Napier City Rovers |
Standings · New Zealand Central League · Central League 2026
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napier City Rovers | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 41 | 11 | 38 |
| 2 | Wellington Olympic | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 15 | 35 |
| 3 | Miramar Rangers | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | Western Suburbs | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Upper Hutt City | 15 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 18 |
| 6 | Waterside Karori | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 15 |
| 7 | Island Bay United | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 33 | 13 |
| 8 | Petone FC | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27 | 12 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 11 |
| 10 | FC Western | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 48 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Waterside Karori | Napier City Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Petone FC | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Upper Hutt City | 0-6 L | 5-1 W |
| Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Island Bay United | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Wellington Olympic | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Western Suburbs | 2-2 D | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Napier City Rovers (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Waterside Karori
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 19/07 | FC Western New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Petone FC New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Upper Hutt City New Zealand Central League |
0-5 | 0-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Island Bay United New Zealand Central League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/06 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Cup |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Wellington Olympic New Zealand Central League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Western Suburbs New Zealand Central League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
Napier City Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Petone FC New Zealand Central League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Hibiscus Coast New Zealand Cup |
4-2 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Upper Hutt City New Zealand Central League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Petone FC New Zealand Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Wellington Olympic New Zealand Central League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Island Bay United New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Western Suburbs New Zealand Central League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/06 | Waterside Karori New Zealand Cup |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | Island Bay United New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Waterside Karori vs Napier City Rovers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Napier City Rovers win (47%). Probabilities: Waterside Karori 28%, draw 25%, Napier City Rovers 47%.
How many goals are expected in Waterside Karori vs Napier City Rovers?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Waterside Karori 1.38 · Napier City Rovers 1.83), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Waterside Karori vs Napier City Rovers?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.