Football · New Zealand Central League · 01/08, 05:45

Prediction: Wellington Olympic vs Upper Hutt City

Team pages: Wellington Olympic · Upper Hutt City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.36Total

Wellington Olympic3.18

Upper Hutt City1.18

1X2

76% 14% 10%

Wellington Olympic Draw Upper Hutt City

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wellington Olympic 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Upper Hutt City 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Wellington Olympic 2–1–0 Upper Hutt City (3 last)

Upper Hutt City1-6Wellington Olympic
Wellington Olympic1-1Upper Hutt City
Upper Hutt City0-1Wellington Olympic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wellington Olympic 1563 · Upper Hutt City 1474

	Wellington Olympic	Draw	Upper Hutt City
Our model	76%	14%	10%
Market	76%	14%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 4.36 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wellington Olympic (rating 1563 vs 1474).
H2H favours Wellington Olympic: 2-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wellington Olympic	Upper Hutt City
Goals for / against (FT)	3.4 / 1.1	2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.2	0.9 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.1	2.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.18

X6.50

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.95

2 (+2.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:03 +11’	1.18	6.50	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wellington Olympic 2–1–0 Upper Hutt City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 New Zealand Central League	Upper Hutt City	1-6 HT 0-3	Wellington Olympic
09/08/25 New Zealand Central League	Wellington Olympic	1-1 HT 1-1	Upper Hutt City
10/05/25 New Zealand Central League	Upper Hutt City	0-1 HT 0-0	Wellington Olympic

Standings · New Zealand Central League · Central League 2026

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Napier City Rovers	14	11	2	1	37	11	35
2	Miramar Rangers	14	10	3	1	31	11	33
3	Wellington Olympic	14	10	2	2	44	14	32
4	Western Suburbs	14	8	4	2	25	11	28
5	Upper Hutt City	14	6	0	8	24	28	18
6	Waterside Karori	14	4	2	8	14	35	14
7	Petone FC	14	3	3	8	14	23	12
8	Island Bay United	14	4	0	10	20	33	12
9	Wellington Phoenix Reserves	14	2	4	8	13	18	10
10	FC Western	14	1	2	11	10	48	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wellington Olympic	Upper Hutt City
Island Bay United	2-1 W	1-4 L
FC Western	9-0 W	4-1 W
Napier City Rovers	2-3 L	1-5 L
Western Suburbs	2-1 W	1-2 L
Miramar Rangers	1-1 D	2-3 L
Waterside Karori	3-0 W	6-0 W
Petone FC	5-1 W	2-0 W
Wellington Phoenix Reserves	3-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Wellington Olympic (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Wellington Olympic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Island Bay United New Zealand Central League	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
11/07	FC Western New Zealand Central League	5-0	9-0	9	0	W
28/06	Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League	1-1	2-3	0	0	L
20/06	Western Suburbs New Zealand Central League	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
06/06	Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
30/05	Miramar Rangers New Zealand Cup	0-0	1-2	6	0	L
23/05	Waterside Karori New Zealand Central League	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
16/05	Petone FC New Zealand Central League	3-0	5-1	2	1	W
09/05	Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League	2-1	3-1	7	1	W
02/05	Upper Hutt City New Zealand Central League	3-0	6-1	5	1	W

Upper Hutt City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Western Suburbs New Zealand Central League	0-1	1-2	3	7	L
12/07	Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League	0-2	1-5	8	0	L
27/06	Waterside Karori New Zealand Central League	5-0	6-0	7	1	W
20/06	Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League	1-1	2-3	5	1	L
06/06	Petone FC New Zealand Central League	0-0	2-0	1	3	W
23/05	Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
17/05	FC Western New Zealand Central League	2-1	4-1	9	4	W
09/05	Island Bay United New Zealand Central League	1-3	1-4	9	4	L
02/05	Wellington Olympic New Zealand Central League	0-3	1-6	2	1	L
25/04	Western Suburbs New Zealand Central League	0-2	1-2	0	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wellington Olympic vs Upper Hutt City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wellington Olympic win (76%). Probabilities: Wellington Olympic 76%, draw 14%, Upper Hutt City 10%.

How many goals are expected in Wellington Olympic vs Upper Hutt City?

The model expects 4.36 goals (Wellington Olympic 3.18 · Upper Hutt City 1.18), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Wellington Olympic vs Upper Hutt City?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.