Football · New Zealand Central League · 08/08, 05:15
Prediction: Petone FC vs Western Suburbs
Team pages: Petone FC · Western Suburbs
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Petone FC1.28
Western Suburbs1.5
1X2
Petone FC
Draw
Western Suburbs
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Petone FC
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Western Suburbs
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Petone FC
1–5
Western Suburbs
(6 last)
- Western Suburbs1-0Petone FC
- Petone FC1-5Western Suburbs
- Western Suburbs3-2Petone FC
- Western Suburbs2-1Petone FC
- Petone FC1-3Western Suburbs
- Western Suburbs0-1Petone FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Western Suburbs (rating 1438 vs 1525).
- H2H favours Western Suburbs: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Petone FC | Western Suburbs | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2.2 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 6 | 3.1 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Petone FC 1–0–5 Western Suburbs
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 New Zealand Central League | Western Suburbs | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Petone FC |
| 28/06/25 New Zealand Central League | Petone FC | 1-5 HT 0-0 | Western Suburbs |
| 12/04/25 New Zealand Central League | Western Suburbs | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Petone FC |
| 21/07/24 New Zealand Central League | Western Suburbs | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Petone FC |
| 27/04/24 New Zealand Central League | Petone FC | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Western Suburbs |
| 16/07/23 New Zealand Central League | Western Suburbs | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Petone FC |
Standings · New Zealand Central League · Central League 2026
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napier City Rovers | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 41 | 11 | 38 |
| 2 | Wellington Olympic | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 15 | 35 |
| 3 | Miramar Rangers | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | Western Suburbs | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Upper Hutt City | 15 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 18 |
| 6 | Waterside Karori | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 15 |
| 7 | Island Bay United | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 33 | 13 |
| 8 | Petone FC | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27 | 12 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 11 |
| 10 | FC Western | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 48 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Petone FC | Western Suburbs |
|---|---|---|
| Napier City Rovers | 0-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Miramar Rangers | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Waterside Karori | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| FC Western | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Upper Hutt City | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Island Bay United | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Wellington Olympic | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Western Suburbs (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petone FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Waterside Karori New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | FC Western New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Upper Hutt City New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Island Bay United New Zealand Central League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Wellington Olympic New Zealand Central League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Western Suburbs New Zealand Central League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
Western Suburbs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Upper Hutt City New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 11/07 | Island Bay United New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | FC Western New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Wellington Olympic New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Waterside Karori New Zealand Central League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Petone FC New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petone FC vs Western Suburbs?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Western Suburbs win (41%). Probabilities: Petone FC 31%, draw 28%, Western Suburbs 41%.
How many goals are expected in Petone FC vs Western Suburbs?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Petone FC 1.28 · Western Suburbs 1.5), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Petone FC vs Western Suburbs?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.