Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 07/09, 17:00

Prediction: Riga FC II vs Skanstes SK

Team pages: Riga FC II · Skanstes SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

Riga FC II1.7

Skanstes SK1.43

1X2

44% 25% 32%

Riga FC II Draw Skanstes SK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Riga FC II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLDLLD

Skanstes SK 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLWWDW

Head-to-head

Riga FC II 1–1–4 Skanstes SK (6 last)

Skanstes SK2-0Riga FC II
Skanstes SK1-0Riga FC II
Riga FC II0-1Skanstes SK
Skanstes SK0-1Riga FC II
Riga FC II0-0Skanstes SK
Skanstes SK1-0Riga FC II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Riga FC II 1481 · Skanstes SK 1505

	Riga FC II	Draw	Skanstes SK
Our model	43%	26%	31%
Market	44%	24%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Skanstes SK: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Riga FC II	Skanstes SK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	2.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	1.2 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.3	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.80

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.92 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:32 +9’	2.05	3.80	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:12 +49’	2.00	3.52	2.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Riga FC II 1–1–4 Skanstes SK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/05/26 Latvia 1. Liga	Skanstes SK	2-0 HT 0-0	Riga FC II
12/09/25 Latvia 1. Liga	Skanstes SK	1-0 HT 0-0	Riga FC II
04/05/25 Latvia 1. Liga	Riga FC II	0-1 HT 0-0	Skanstes SK
24/08/24 Latvia 1. Liga	Skanstes SK	0-1 HT 0-0	Riga FC II
28/04/24 Latvia 1. Liga	Riga FC II	0-0 HT 0-0	Skanstes SK
30/09/23 Latvia 1. Liga	Skanstes SK	1-0 HT 1-0	Riga FC II

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Valmiera FC	19	15	3	1	56	18	48
2	Metta/LU	19	15	3	1	79	16	48
3	Saldus SS/Leevon	19	14	3	2	36	21	45
4	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	19	13	5	1	45	17	44
5	JDFS Alberts	19	11	4	4	40	26	37
6	Marupes SC	19	8	1	10	29	32	25
7	SK Super Nova II	19	6	6	7	26	28	24
8	Skanstes SK	18	7	2	9	37	35	23
9	Riga FC II	18	6	3	9	25	34	21
10	RFS II	19	4	3	12	28	52	15
11	JFK Ventspils	18	2	6	10	20	33	12
12	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	18	3	3	12	23	54	12
13	FK Smiltene/BJSS	19	2	4	13	23	56	10
14	Rezeknes FA	19	1	2	16	14	59	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Riga FC II	Skanstes SK
JFK Ventspils	1-1 D	0-3 L
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	1-3 L	0-2 L
Metta/LU	2-2 D	1-3 L
Valmiera FC	0-3 L	0-3 L
SK Super Nova II	2-1 W	1-1 D
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	2-0 W	6-2 W
FK Smiltene/BJSS	2-0 W	4-2 W
Rezeknes FA	1-2 L	5-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Riga FC II (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Riga FC II

LWWWWLDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
24/08	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	0-3	1-3	11	5	L
08/08	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
01/08	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-2	2	5	D
27/07	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-3	3	1	L
19/07	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	2-1	5	6	W
04/07	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
27/06	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
14/06	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
23/05	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Skanstes SK

LWLLLLWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	5-2	6-2	2	2	W
23/08	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
08/08	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	5-1	–	–	W
01/08	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	4-2	6	2	W
25/07	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
18/07	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-3	1	5	L
11/07	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	0-3	0-3	10	4	L
04/07	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-3	3	2	L
28/06	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	4-2	3	1	W
14/06	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	0-2	7	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Riga FC II vs Skanstes SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Riga FC II win (44%). Probabilities: Riga FC II 44%, draw 25%, Skanstes SK 32%.

How many goals are expected in Riga FC II vs Skanstes SK?

The model expects 3.14 goals (Riga FC II 1.7 · Skanstes SK 1.43), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Riga FC II vs Skanstes SK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.