Prediction: Valmiera FC vs RFS II
Team pages: Valmiera FC · RFS II
- RFS II1-5Valmiera FC
| Valmiera FC | Draw | RFS II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| Market | 76% | 13% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valmiera FC (rating 1603 vs 1466).
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Valmiera FC | RFS II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 2.6 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valmiera FC 1–0–0 RFS II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Latvia 1. Liga | RFS II | 1-5 HT 1-0 | Valmiera FC |
Standings · Latvia 1. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta/LU | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 55 | 11 | 37 |
| 2 | Valmiera FC | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 38 | 12 | 35 |
| 3 | Saldus SS/Leevon | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 30 |
| 4 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 24 |
| 6 | Marupes SC | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 22 |
| 7 | SK Super Nova II | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 20 |
| 8 | Riga FC II | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 19 |
| 9 | Skanstes SK | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 13 |
| 10 | RFS II | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 12 |
| 11 | JFK Ventspils | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 11 |
| 12 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Smiltene/BJSS | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 7 |
| 14 | Rezeknes FA | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valmiera FC | RFS II |
|---|---|---|
| Riga FC II | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Skanstes SK | 3-0 W | 0-4 L |
| JFK Ventspils | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FK Smiltene/BJSS | 4-1 W | 5-3 W |
| FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| SK Super Nova II | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Valmiera FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valmiera FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Ogre United Latvia Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 28/06 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 22/06 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia Cup |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Skanstes SK Latvia Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/05 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
RFS II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
2-1 | 5-3 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 20/07 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Leevon PPK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valmiera FC vs RFS II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Valmiera FC win (75%). Probabilities: Valmiera FC 75%, draw 14%, RFS II 11%.
How many goals are expected in Valmiera FC vs RFS II?
The model expects 3.86 goals (Valmiera FC 2.85 · RFS II 1.01), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Valmiera FC vs RFS II?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.