Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 01/08, 18:00

Prediction: Leevon PPK vs Rezeknes FA

Team pages: Leevon PPK · Rezeknes FA

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.52Total

Leevon PPK2.59

Rezeknes FA0.93

1X2

73% 15% 12%

Leevon PPK Draw Rezeknes FA

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Leevon PPK 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDDWWWWW

Rezeknes FA 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLLDLL

Head-to-head

Leevon PPK 5–0 Rezeknes FA (5 last)

Rezeknes FA0-2Leevon PPK
Rezeknes FA1-2Leevon PPK
Leevon PPK6-2Rezeknes FA
Rezeknes FA0-7Leevon PPK
Leevon PPK4-1Rezeknes FA

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leevon PPK 1603 · Rezeknes FA 1391

	Leevon PPK	Draw	Rezeknes FA
Our model	72%	17%	11%
Market	74%	13%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leevon PPK (rating 1603 vs 1391).
H2H favours Leevon PPK: 5-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leevon PPK	Rezeknes FA
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1	1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.7	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.6	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.20

X7.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.82

2 (+2)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.93

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
06:19 +2’	1.20	7.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Leevon PPK 5–0–0 Rezeknes FA

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Latvia 1. Liga	Rezeknes FA	0-2 HT 0-0	Leevon PPK
26/10/25 Latvia 1. Liga	Rezeknes FA	1-2 HT 0-2	Leevon PPK
29/06/25 Latvia 1. Liga	Leevon PPK	6-2 HT 4-2	Rezeknes FA
05/10/24 Latvia 1. Liga	Rezeknes FA	0-7 HT 0-4	Leevon PPK
15/06/24 Latvia 1. Liga	Leevon PPK	4-1 HT 2-1	Rezeknes FA

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metta/LU	14	12	1	1	55	11	37
2	Valmiera FC	14	11	2	1	38	12	35
3	Saldus SS/Leevon	14	9	3	2	24	17	30
4	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	14	8	5	1	27	13	29
5	JDFS Alberts	14	7	3	4	29	22	24
6	Marupes SC	14	7	1	6	24	20	22
7	SK Super Nova II	14	5	5	4	21	20	20
8	Riga FC II	14	6	1	7	21	26	19
9	Skanstes SK	14	4	1	9	21	29	13
10	RFS II	14	3	3	8	20	31	12
11	JFK Ventspils	14	2	5	7	17	24	11
12	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	14	3	2	9	18	40	11
13	FK Smiltene/BJSS	14	1	4	9	16	38	7
14	Rezeknes FA	14	1	2	11	11	39	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leevon PPK	Rezeknes FA
JFK Ventspils	2-1 W	1-1 D
RFS II	2-1 W	0-3 L
Riga FC II	3-2 W	2-1 W
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	4-1 W	1-4 L
SK Super Nova II	3-2 W	0-1 L
FK Smiltene/BJSS	0-0 D	0-1 L
Marupes SC	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Leevon PPK (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Leevon PPK

WWWDDWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	2-1	5	7	W
16/05	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	2-1	12	7	W
10/05	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	3-2	9	8	W
02/05	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	4-1	5	3	W
26/04	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	2-2	3-2	11	7	W
18/04	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-0	10	6	D
12/04	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	9	D
28/03	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
22/03	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	2-1	2	5	W
08/11	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	3-2	5	3	W

Rezeknes FA

DLLWLLLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
19/07	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-1	1	10	L
04/07	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
27/06	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	2-4	1	4	L
14/06	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-3	8	5	L
30/05	FK Kekava/Auda Latvia Cup	0-0	1-2	5	1	L
23/05	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-4	–	–	L
09/05	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
02/05	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	2-2	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leevon PPK vs Rezeknes FA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leevon PPK win (73%). Probabilities: Leevon PPK 73%, draw 15%, Rezeknes FA 12%.

How many goals are expected in Leevon PPK vs Rezeknes FA?

The model expects 3.52 goals (Leevon PPK 2.59 · Rezeknes FA 0.93), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Leevon PPK vs Rezeknes FA?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.