Football · USA USL Championship · 15/10, 01:30
Prediction: Rhode Island FC vs Loudoun United FC
Team pages: Rhode Island FC · Loudoun United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Rhode Island FC1.74
Loudoun United FC1.15
1X2
Rhode Island FC
Draw
Loudoun United FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Rhode Island FC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Loudoun United FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rhode Island FC
1–3–1
Loudoun United FC
(5 last)
- Loudoun United FC1-4Rhode Island FC
- Rhode Island FC0-0Loudoun United FC
- Loudoun United FC2-0Rhode Island FC
- Rhode Island FC0-0Loudoun United FC
- Loudoun United FC0-0Rhode Island FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rhode Island FC | Loudoun United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.5 | 2.1 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rhode Island FC 1–3–1 Loudoun United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 USA USL Championship | Loudoun United FC | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Rhode Island FC |
| 10/08/25 USA USL Championship | Rhode Island FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Loudoun United FC |
| 29/03/25 USA USL Championship | Loudoun United FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Rhode Island FC |
| 13/10/24 USA USL Championship | Rhode Island FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Loudoun United FC |
| 25/08/24 USA USL Championship | Loudoun United FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rhode Island FC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City FC | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston Battery | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 33 | 46 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 41 |
| 5 | Louisville City FC | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 40 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island FC | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 30 | 38 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 47 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United FC | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34 | 44 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion FC | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 73 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rhode Island FC | Loudoun United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit City FC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Indy Eleven | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Charleston Battery | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Miami FC | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Sporting JAX | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Louisville City FC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Loudoun United FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rhode Island FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/10 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 01/10 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Loudoun United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 26/09 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
1-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rhode Island FC vs Loudoun United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rhode Island FC win (50%). Probabilities: Rhode Island FC 50%, draw 26%, Loudoun United FC 24%.
How many goals are expected in Rhode Island FC vs Loudoun United FC?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Rhode Island FC 1.74 · Loudoun United FC 1.15), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Rhode Island FC vs Loudoun United FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.