Football · USA USL Championship · 25/10, 00:00

Prediction: Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven

Team pages: Charleston Battery · Indy Eleven

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Charleston Battery1.86

Indy Eleven1.01

1X2

56% 24% 20%

Charleston Battery Draw Indy Eleven

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Charleston Battery 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLDWWLDW

Indy Eleven 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDDWLLLDLL

Head-to-head

Charleston Battery 5–1 Indy Eleven (6 last)

Indy Eleven2-0Charleston Battery
Charleston Battery2-1Indy Eleven
Indy Eleven1-3Charleston Battery
Charleston Battery5-0Indy Eleven
Indy Eleven2-4Charleston Battery
Charleston Battery5-0Indy Eleven

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charleston Battery 1519 · Indy Eleven 1460

	Charleston Battery	Draw	Indy Eleven
Our model	56%	25%	19%
Market	57%	23%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Charleston Battery (rating 1519 vs 1460).
H2H favours Charleston Battery: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Charleston Battery	Indy Eleven
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.6	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.3	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.80

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Pinn 1.59
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.14 ★
2	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.78

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
03:02 +11’	1.57	3.80	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:12 +24’	1.53	4.24	5.08
02:16 +18’	1.54▲	4.30▲	5.17▲
08:20 +5’	1.54▼	4.27▼	5.13▼
08:27 +58’	1.59▲	4.14▼	4.78▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Charleston Battery 5–0–1 Indy Eleven

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 USA USL Championship	Indy Eleven	2-0 HT 0-0	Charleston Battery
07/09/25 USA USL Championship	Charleston Battery	2-1 HT 1-0	Indy Eleven
20/04/25 USA USL Championship	Indy Eleven	1-3 HT 0-2	Charleston Battery
03/08/24 USA USL Championship	Charleston Battery	5-0 HT 0-0	Indy Eleven
14/04/24 USA USL Championship	Indy Eleven	2-4 HT 2-2	Charleston Battery
22/10/23 USA USL Championship	Charleston Battery	5-0 HT 3-0	Indy Eleven

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	29	17	7	5	50	26	58
2	Charleston Battery	29	15	5	9	55	35	50
3	Detroit City FC	29	14	8	7	34	21	50
4	Louisville City FC	28	12	7	9	49	43	43
5	Rhode Island FC	29	12	6	11	41	31	42
6	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	29	12	6	11	31	29	42
7	Hartford Athletic	29	9	13	7	33	32	40
8	Miami FC	30	9	9	12	39	49	36
9	Indy Eleven	29	9	7	13	35	40	34
10	Loudoun United FC	29	5	13	11	34	45	28
11	Birmingham Legion FC	28	5	12	11	37	43	27
12	Brooklyn FC	28	5	6	17	30	57	21
13	Sporting JAX	28	3	5	20	32	74	14

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Charleston Battery	Indy Eleven
Miami FC	2-1 W	0-2 L
Louisville City FC	0-2 L	1-4 L
Rhode Island FC	2-0 W	0-1 L
Birmingham Legion FC	2-2 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Charleston Battery (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Charleston Battery

LWWLDWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Miami FC USA USL Championship	0-1	2-1	12	0	W
15/10	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
11/10	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	6	1	L
27/09	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	8	4	W
20/09	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/09	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	2-2	2-2	6	3	D
03/09	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	7	6	L
30/08	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	1	1	W
25/08	Miami FC USA USL Championship	2-0	5-0	2	5	W
16/08	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	1-2	1-3	3	7	L

Indy Eleven

LDDWLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	0-3	1-4	4	3	L
11/10	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	1-0	1-3	5	4	L
04/10	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
01/10	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
27/09	Miami FC USA USL Championship	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
20/09	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
16/09	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	3-0	4-0	3	2	W
12/09	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	0-2	2-2	4	4	D
06/09	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-2	9	2	D
30/08	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	1-2	1-2	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Charleston Battery win (56%). Probabilities: Charleston Battery 56%, draw 24%, Indy Eleven 20%.

How many goals are expected in Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Charleston Battery 1.86 · Indy Eleven 1.01), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.