Football · USA USL Championship · 24/10, 23:00

Prediction: Loudoun United FC vs Brooklyn FC

Team pages: Loudoun United FC · Brooklyn FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Loudoun United FC1.97

Brooklyn FC1.22

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Loudoun United FC Draw Brooklyn FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Loudoun United FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWDWLD

Brooklyn FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDLDLLLW

Head-to-head

Loudoun United FC 1–0 Brooklyn FC (1 last)

Brooklyn FC0-1Loudoun United FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Loudoun United FC 1493 · Brooklyn FC 1435

	Loudoun United FC	Draw	Brooklyn FC
Our model	54%	24%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Loudoun United FC (rating 1493 vs 1435).
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Loudoun United FC	Brooklyn FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.6	1.4 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.80

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:18 +2’	1.67	3.80	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Loudoun United FC 1–0–0 Brooklyn FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 USA USL Championship	Brooklyn FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Loudoun United FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	29	17	7	5	50	26	58
2	Charleston Battery	29	15	5	9	55	35	50
3	Detroit City FC	29	14	8	7	34	21	50
4	Louisville City FC	28	12	7	9	49	43	43
5	Rhode Island FC	29	12	6	11	41	31	42
6	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	29	12	6	11	31	29	42
7	Hartford Athletic	29	9	13	7	33	32	40
8	Miami FC	30	9	9	12	39	49	36
9	Indy Eleven	29	9	7	13	35	40	34
10	Loudoun United FC	29	5	13	11	34	45	28
11	Birmingham Legion FC	28	5	12	11	37	43	27
12	Brooklyn FC	28	5	6	17	30	57	21
13	Sporting JAX	28	3	5	20	32	74	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Loudoun United FC	Brooklyn FC
Birmingham Legion FC	0-0 D	0-4 L
Rhode Island FC	0-1 L	1-3 L
Miami FC	2-0 W	1-1 D
Indy Eleven	1-1 D	0-4 L
Sporting JAX	4-1 W	4-1 W
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Loudoun United FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Loudoun United FC

DLLLLWDWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
15/10	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
11/10	Miami FC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	2	3	W
04/10	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
26/09	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	1-1	4-1	4	3	W
20/09	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	1-2	1-2	8	5	L
13/09	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
05/09	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-1	4-5	4	4	L
30/08	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	1-3	1-4	7	2	L
23/08	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	6	5	D

Brooklyn FC

LWLDLDLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	0-1	3-2	0	6	W
04/10	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-2	1-3	6	4	L
01/10	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-3	3	3	L
23/09	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-4	4	1	L
20/09	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-2	2-2	0	6	D
16/09	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-3	0-4	7	2	L
13/09	Miami FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
06/09	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
30/08	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	3-0	4-1	6	4	W
23/08	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Loudoun United FC vs Brooklyn FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Loudoun United FC win (54%). Probabilities: Loudoun United FC 54%, draw 24%, Brooklyn FC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Loudoun United FC vs Brooklyn FC?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Loudoun United FC 1.97 · Brooklyn FC 1.22), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Loudoun United FC vs Brooklyn FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.