Football · USA MLS · 29/10, 00:30

Prediction: Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal

Team pages: Charlotte FC · CF Montreal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

Charlotte FC2.13

CF Montreal1.18

1X2

58% 22% 19%

Charlotte FC Draw CF Montreal

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Charlotte FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDWDWLWLDL

CF Montreal 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLLDL

Head-to-head

Charlotte FC 3–3 CF Montreal (6 last)

CF Montreal1-2Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC1-4CF Montreal
CF Montreal0-1Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC2-0CF Montreal
CF Montreal2-1Charlotte FC
CF Montreal2-0Charlotte FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Charlotte FC (rating 1512 vs 1424).
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Charlotte FC	CF Montreal
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	0.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5	2.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.92

Under 3.251.92

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 10:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.56 → 1.52▼	Pinn 1.52
X	4.68 → 4.91▲	Pinn 4.91
2	4.71 → 5.14▲	Pinn 5.14

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:42 +35’	1.56	4.68	4.71
04:57 +26’	1.56▲	4.78▲	4.81▲
09:40 +42’	1.52▼	4.91▲	5.14▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlotte FC 3–0–3 CF Montreal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/09/26 USA MLS	CF Montreal	1-2 HT 1-1	Charlotte FC
28/09/25 USA MLS	Charlotte FC	1-4 HT 1-1	CF Montreal
13/04/25 USA MLS	CF Montreal	0-1 HT 0-1	Charlotte FC
06/10/24 USA MLS	Charlotte FC	2-0 HT 1-0	CF Montreal
15/09/24 USA MLS	CF Montreal	2-1 HT 2-1	Charlotte FC
16/07/23 USA MLS	CF Montreal	2-0 HT 2-0	Charlotte FC

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	31	21	7	3	66	23	70
2	New England Revolution	31	17	4	10	51	42	55
3	Inter Miami CF	31	15	10	6	73	53	55
4	Chicago Fire	31	15	6	10	55	46	51
5	Charlotte FC	31	13	8	10	55	48	47
6	Philadelphia Union	31	13	7	11	62	50	46
7	Orlando City SC	31	12	6	13	60	72	42
8	FC Cincinnati	31	11	9	11	64	71	42
9	New York Red Bulls	31	11	6	14	41	56	39
10	Columbus Crew	31	11	5	15	50	49	38
11	Toronto FC	31	8	12	11	48	59	36
12	New York City FC	31	8	11	12	45	43	35
13	DC United	31	7	12	12	38	55	33
14	Atlanta United	31	8	6	17	39	54	30
15	CF Montreal	31	6	7	18	36	62	25

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Charlotte FC	CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union	2-2 D	0-2 L
Columbus Crew	1-3 L	0-2 L
FC Cincinnati	3-3 D	3-1 W
Atlanta United	2-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Charlotte FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Charlotte FC

WDWDWLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Portland Timbers USA MLS	1-2	2-3	3	2	L
17/10	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-1	2-2	1	3	D
15/10	Columbus Crew USA MLS	1-1	1-3	4	2	L
11/10	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-1	3-2	14	2	W
27/09	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
20/09	DC United USA MLS	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
13/09	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	2-1	3-3	3	3	D
10/09	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
06/09	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
30/08	Atlanta United USA MLS	1-0	2-0	7	2	W

CF Montreal

LLLLLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
18/10	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
15/10	Atlanta United USA MLS	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
10/10	Toronto FC USA MLS	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
27/09	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	1-0	3-1	4	4	W
20/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
13/09	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
10/09	Charlotte FC USA MLS	1-1	1-2	11	3	L
06/09	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-0	0-2	1	8	L
30/08	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-2	1-7	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Charlotte FC win (58%). Probabilities: Charlotte FC 58%, draw 22%, CF Montreal 19%.

How many goals are expected in Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Charlotte FC 2.13 · CF Montreal 1.18), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.