Football · USA MLS · 29/10, 03:30

Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC

Team pages: Vancouver Whitecaps · San Diego FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

Vancouver Whitecaps2.48

San Diego FC1.5

1X2

58% 20% 22%

Vancouver Whitecaps Draw San Diego FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Vancouver Whitecaps 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLDDWL

San Diego FC 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLDDLDDD

Head-to-head

Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1–1 San Diego FC (4 last)

San Diego FC2-4Vancouver Whitecaps
San Diego FC1-3Vancouver Whitecaps
San Diego FC1-1Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps3-5San Diego FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vancouver Whitecaps (rating 1518 vs 1426).
H2H favours Vancouver Whitecaps: 2-1-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vancouver Whitecaps	San Diego FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.8 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.7 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.3	2.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.99

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 07:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.43 → 1.47▲	Pinn 1.47
X	5.16 → 5.13▼	Pinn 5.13
2	5.68 → 5.55▼	Pinn 5.55

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:42 +36’	1.43	5.16	5.68
04:43 +41’	1.44▲	5.25▲	5.79▲
06:36 +46’	1.47▲	5.13▼	5.55▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1–1 San Diego FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 USA MLS	San Diego FC	2-4 HT 0-2	Vancouver Whitecaps
30/11/25 USA MLS	San Diego FC	1-3 HT 0-3	Vancouver Whitecaps
20/07/25 USA MLS	San Diego FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Vancouver Whitecaps
26/06/25 USA MLS	Vancouver Whitecaps	3-5 HT 1-3	San Diego FC

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	31	16	7	8	63	32	55
2	FC Dallas	31	15	9	7	58	47	54
3	St. Louis City SC	31	14	9	8	56	44	51
4	San Jose Earthquakes	31	13	9	9	52	45	48
5	Houston Dynamo	31	13	9	9	41	39	48
6	Los Angeles FC	31	12	10	9	48	33	46
7	Seattle Sounders	31	11	10	10	41	39	43
8	Colorado Rapids	31	12	6	13	42	41	42
9	LA Galaxy	31	10	10	11	43	52	40
10	Real Salt Lake	31	11	6	14	48	48	39
11	Portland Timbers	31	10	7	14	54	58	37
12	San Diego FC	31	8	11	12	55	58	35
13	Minnesota United	31	8	11	12	47	55	35
14	Austin FC	31	8	10	13	40	57	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	31	6	4	21	37	77	22

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vancouver Whitecaps	San Diego FC
Austin FC	2-1 W	3-3 D
LA Galaxy	3-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Vancouver Whitecaps (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vancouver Whitecaps

LWLWDLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
18/10	Austin FC USA MLS	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
15/10	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
11/10	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
07/10	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-1	1-3	8	3	L
27/09	DC United USA MLS	2-1	3-3	7	1	D
20/09	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	2-0	3-0	8	7	W
14/09	Austin FC USA MLS	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
10/09	LA Galaxy USA MLS	1-0	3-0	7	4	W
06/09	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	1-3	1-3	6	7	L

San Diego FC

WLLLDDLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	0-0	2-2	5	2	D
18/10	LA Galaxy USA MLS	2-2	2-2	3	3	D
15/10	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	2-3	3-3	10	6	D
11/10	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	0-3	1-4	7	5	L
27/09	Austin FC USA MLS	0-0	3-3	1	1	D
21/09	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-1	2-2	1	3	D
14/09	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-1	0-5	11	4	L
10/09	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	1-3	2-3	1	10	L
06/09	Orlando City SC USA MLS	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
30/08	LA Galaxy USA MLS	1-0	3-1	7	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vancouver Whitecaps win (58%). Probabilities: Vancouver Whitecaps 58%, draw 20%, San Diego FC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC?

The model expects 3.98 goals (Vancouver Whitecaps 2.48 · San Diego FC 1.5), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.