Football · USA MLS · 29/10, 01:30

Prediction: Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake

Team pages: Austin FC · Real Salt Lake

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Austin FC1.67

Real Salt Lake1.35

1X2

44% 26% 30%

Austin FC Draw Real Salt Lake

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Austin FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWDDLLLW

Real Salt Lake 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWLDWW

Head-to-head

Austin FC 0–2–4 Real Salt Lake (6 last)

Real Salt Lake2-1Austin FC
Real Salt Lake3-1Austin FC
Austin FC1-1Real Salt Lake
Austin FC2-2Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake5-1Austin FC
Austin FC1-2Real Salt Lake

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Real Salt Lake: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Austin FC	Real Salt Lake
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.6	2.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 11:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.58 → 2.50▼	Pinn 2.50
X	3.73 → 3.89▲	Pinn 3.89
2	2.54 → 2.54	Pinn 2.54

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:16 +9’	2.58	3.73	2.54
05:31 +53’	2.70▲	3.73	2.43▼
11:14 +7’	2.50▼	3.89▲	2.54▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Austin FC 0–2–4 Real Salt Lake

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 USA MLS	Real Salt Lake	2-1 HT 1-1	Austin FC
28/09/25 USA MLS	Real Salt Lake	3-1 HT 1-0	Austin FC
29/05/25 USA MLS	Austin FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Real Salt Lake
29/09/24 USA MLS	Austin FC	2-2 HT 0-0	Real Salt Lake
02/06/24 USA MLS	Real Salt Lake	5-1 HT 4-0	Austin FC
04/06/23 USA MLS	Austin FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Real Salt Lake

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	31	16	7	8	63	32	55
2	FC Dallas	31	15	9	7	58	47	54
3	St. Louis City SC	31	14	9	8	56	44	51
4	San Jose Earthquakes	31	13	9	9	52	45	48
5	Houston Dynamo	31	13	9	9	41	39	48
6	Los Angeles FC	31	12	10	9	48	33	46
7	Seattle Sounders	31	11	10	10	41	39	43
8	Colorado Rapids	31	12	6	13	42	41	42
9	LA Galaxy	31	10	10	11	43	52	40
10	Real Salt Lake	31	11	6	14	48	48	39
11	Portland Timbers	31	10	7	14	54	58	37
12	San Diego FC	31	8	11	12	55	58	35
13	Minnesota United	31	8	11	12	47	55	35
14	Austin FC	31	8	10	13	40	57	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	31	6	4	21	37	77	22

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Austin FC	Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City	2-1 W	3-1 W
Vancouver Whitecaps	1-2 L	0-3 L
Los Angeles FC	1-3 L	2-2 D
San Jose Earthquakes	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Real Salt Lake (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Austin FC

WDDWDDLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	0-0	2-1	5	7	W
18/10	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	1-0	1-2	4	3	L
15/10	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	0-0	1-3	5	0	L
11/10	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-1	1-4	4	3	L
27/09	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-0	3-3	4	1	D
20/09	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
14/09	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	1-0	2-1	0	7	W
10/09	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
06/09	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
30/08	Portland Timbers USA MLS	1-0	2-1	3	5	W

Real Salt Lake

DLLLLWLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	1-0	3-0	7	5	W
18/10	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	2-1	3-1	5	6	W
15/10	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
11/10	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
27/09	New England Revolution USA MLS	1-0	3-0	1	4	W
24/09	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
20/09	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	0-2	0-3	5	7	L
13/09	New York City FC USA MLS	0-1	0-2	10	4	L
10/09	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
06/09	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	1-2	2-2	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Austin FC win (44%). Probabilities: Austin FC 44%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 30%.

How many goals are expected in Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Austin FC 1.67 · Real Salt Lake 1.35), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.