Football · USA MLS · 29/10, 01:30

Prediction: Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City

Team pages: Minnesota United · Sporting Kansas City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.18Total

Minnesota United2.38

Sporting Kansas City1.8

1X2

50% 21% 29%

Minnesota United Draw Sporting Kansas City

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Minnesota United 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLDDWD

Sporting Kansas City 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLDLLL

Head-to-head

Minnesota United 4–1–1 Sporting Kansas City (6 last)

Sporting Kansas City2-1Minnesota United
Sporting Kansas City0-3Minnesota United
Minnesota United3-0Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City3-3Minnesota United
Sporting Kansas City0-6Minnesota United
Sporting Kansas City0-2Minnesota United

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Minnesota United: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Minnesota United	Sporting Kansas City
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.6	1.7 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.4	1.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.9	1.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.89

Under 3.51.94

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.40▼	Pinn 1.40
X	5.08 → 5.28▲	Pinn 5.28
2	5.92 → 6.46▲	Pinn 6.46

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:35 +50’	1.45	5.08	5.92
09:42 +40’	1.40▼	5.28▲	6.46▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Minnesota United 4–1–1 Sporting Kansas City

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/07/26 USA MLS	Sporting Kansas City	2-1 HT 1-0	Minnesota United
07/02/26 America Friendlies	Sporting Kansas City	0-3	Minnesota United
05/10/25 USA MLS	Minnesota United	3-0 HT 1-0	Sporting Kansas City
16/03/25 USA MLS	Sporting Kansas City	3-3 HT 0-2	Minnesota United
09/02/25 World Club Friendlies	Sporting Kansas City	0-6	Minnesota United
22/09/24 USA MLS	Sporting Kansas City	0-2 HT 0-0	Minnesota United

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	31	16	7	8	63	32	55
2	FC Dallas	31	15	9	7	58	47	54
3	St. Louis City SC	31	14	9	8	56	44	51
4	San Jose Earthquakes	31	13	9	9	52	45	48
5	Houston Dynamo	31	13	9	9	41	39	48
6	Los Angeles FC	31	12	10	9	48	33	46
7	Seattle Sounders	31	11	10	10	41	39	43
8	Colorado Rapids	31	12	6	13	42	41	42
9	LA Galaxy	31	10	10	11	43	52	40
10	Real Salt Lake	31	11	6	14	48	48	39
11	Portland Timbers	31	10	7	14	54	58	37
12	San Diego FC	31	8	11	12	55	58	35
13	Minnesota United	31	8	11	12	47	55	35
14	Austin FC	31	8	10	13	40	57	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	31	6	4	21	37	77	22

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Minnesota United	Sporting Kansas City
Houston Dynamo	0-0 D	2-0 W
Seattle Sounders	1-3 L	1-2 L
FC Dallas	1-2 L	3-4 L
Portland Timbers	4-5 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting Kansas City (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Minnesota United

DLLLLLDDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
17/10	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-2	3-2	6	4	W
15/10	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	0-1	2-2	4	4	D
11/10	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	0-1	2-2	2	2	D
27/09	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	0-2	1-3	7	4	L
20/09	LA Galaxy USA MLS	2-1	2-3	5	2	L
13/09	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	1-3	2-4	5	3	L
10/09	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
06/09	Portland Timbers USA MLS	2-3	4-5	3	4	L
30/08	Orlando City SC USA MLS	0-1	3-3	8	4	D

Sporting Kansas City

LLWLWLDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Austin FC USA MLS	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
18/10	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	1-2	1-3	7	6	L
15/10	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-3	0-4	4	0	L
11/10	Portland Timbers USA MLS	1-2	3-3	6	1	D
02/10	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	1-0	1-2	6	2	L
27/09	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	2-0	2-0	3	6	W
20/09	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	3-0	3-4	3	7	L
13/09	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	2-0	3-1	6	4	W
06/09	FC Dallas USA MLS	2-3	3-4	7	1	L
30/08	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	0-1	0-3	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Minnesota United win (50%). Probabilities: Minnesota United 50%, draw 21%, Sporting Kansas City 29%.

How many goals are expected in Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City?

The model expects 4.18 goals (Minnesota United 2.38 · Sporting Kansas City 1.8), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.