Football · USA MLS · 29/10, 01:30

Prediction: Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union

Team pages: Nashville SC · Philadelphia Union

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Nashville SC1.64

Philadelphia Union1.3

1X2

44% 26% 29%

Nashville SC Draw Philadelphia Union

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Nashville SC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDLDWWWWDW

Philadelphia Union 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWDL

Head-to-head

Nashville SC 3–1–2 Philadelphia Union (6 last)

Philadelphia Union0-0Nashville SC
Nashville SC3-1Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC1-0Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union1-3Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union3-0Nashville SC
Nashville SC1-2Philadelphia Union

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Nashville SC: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nashville SC	Philadelphia Union
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.6	3.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.1	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.2	3.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.86

Under 31.97

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.89 → 1.91▲	Pinn 1.91
X	3.89 → 3.94▲	Pinn 3.94
2	3.61 → 3.65▲	Pinn 3.65

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:43 +47’	1.89	3.89	3.61
02:45 +100’	1.91▲	3.94▲	3.65▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nashville SC 3–1–2 Philadelphia Union

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 USA MLS	Philadelphia Union	0-0 HT 0-0	Nashville SC
17/09/25 USA US Open Cup	Nashville SC	3-1 HT 1-0	Philadelphia Union
06/07/25 USA MLS	Nashville SC	1-0 HT 0-0	Philadelphia Union
16/03/25 USA MLS	Philadelphia Union	1-3 HT 1-2	Nashville SC
21/07/24 USA MLS	Philadelphia Union	3-0 HT 2-0	Nashville SC
07/04/24 USA MLS	Nashville SC	1-2 HT 1-0	Philadelphia Union

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	31	21	7	3	66	23	70
2	New England Revolution	31	17	4	10	51	42	55
3	Inter Miami CF	31	15	10	6	73	53	55
4	Chicago Fire	31	15	6	10	55	46	51
5	Charlotte FC	31	13	8	10	55	48	47
6	Philadelphia Union	31	13	7	11	62	50	46
7	Orlando City SC	31	12	6	13	60	72	42
8	FC Cincinnati	31	11	9	11	64	71	42
9	New York Red Bulls	31	11	6	14	41	56	39
10	Columbus Crew	31	11	5	15	50	49	38
11	Toronto FC	31	8	12	11	48	59	36
12	New York City FC	31	8	11	12	45	43	35
13	DC United	31	7	12	12	38	55	33
14	Atlanta United	31	8	6	17	39	54	30
15	CF Montreal	31	6	7	18	36	62	25

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nashville SC	Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal	2-0 W	2-0 W
Sporting Kansas City	4-0 W	4-3 W
Chicago Fire	3-0 W	3-1 W
FC Cincinnati	4-0 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Nashville SC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nashville SC

WDLDWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	CF Montreal USA MLS	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
18/10	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	1-0	1-1	0	4	D
15/10	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	3-0	4-0	7	0	W
11/10	Austin FC USA MLS	1-0	4-1	6	3	W
27/09	Toronto FC USA MLS	2-0	2-0	9	1	W
20/09	Chicago Fire USA MLS	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
13/09	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
10/09	Toronto FC USA MLS	1-0	1-2	8	1	L
05/09	New York City FC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
30/08	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	1-0	4-0	6	5	W

Philadelphia Union

WWWWWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	New England Revolution USA MLS	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
17/10	Charlotte FC USA MLS	1-0	2-2	7	3	D
15/10	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-1	3-1	7	6	W
11/10	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
27/09	Orlando City SC USA MLS	2-0	4-2	7	6	W
20/09	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	0-3	4-3	4	7	W
14/09	San Diego FC USA MLS	1-0	5-0	4	4	W
10/09	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	2-0	5-0	7	3	W
06/09	CF Montreal USA MLS	0-0	2-0	6	8	W
30/08	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	1-0	3-1	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nashville SC win (44%). Probabilities: Nashville SC 44%, draw 26%, Philadelphia Union 29%.

How many goals are expected in Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Nashville SC 1.64 · Philadelphia Union 1.3), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.