Football · USA MLS · 29/10, 01:30

Prediction: St. Louis City SC vs Portland Timbers

Team pages: St. Louis City SC · Portland Timbers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.77Total

St. Louis City SC2.35

Portland Timbers1.42

1X2

57% 21% 22%

St. Louis City SC Draw Portland Timbers

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

St. Louis City SC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Portland Timbers 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

St. Louis City SC 2–3–1 Portland Timbers (6 last)

Portland Timbers2-2St. Louis City SC
St. Louis City SC2-1Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers2-1St. Louis City SC
Portland Timbers4-4St. Louis City SC
St. Louis City SC3-1Portland Timbers
St. Louis City SC0-0Portland Timbers

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St. Louis City SC (rating 1549 vs 1464).
H2H favours St. Louis City SC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St. Louis City SC	Portland Timbers
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.7	1.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 0.6	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4	2.2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.84

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 07:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.80▲	Pinn 1.80
X	4.35 → 4.15▼	Pinn 4.15
2	4.35 → 3.89▼	Pinn 3.89

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:42 +36’	1.65	4.35	4.35
04:45 +39’	1.66▲	4.42▲	4.42▲
07:09 +13’	1.80▲	4.15▼	3.89▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · St. Louis City SC 2–3–1 Portland Timbers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/09/26 USA MLS	Portland Timbers	2-2 HT 1-1	St. Louis City SC
14/07/25 USA MLS	St. Louis City SC	2-1 HT 0-1	Portland Timbers
09/06/25 USA MLS	Portland Timbers	2-1 HT 0-0	St. Louis City SC
25/08/24 USA MLS	Portland Timbers	4-4 HT 1-3	St. Louis City SC
10/08/24 Leagues Cup	St. Louis City SC	3-1 HT 0-0	Portland Timbers
09/06/24 USA MLS	St. Louis City SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Portland Timbers

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	31	16	7	8	63	32	55
2	FC Dallas	31	15	9	7	58	47	54
3	St. Louis City SC	31	14	9	8	56	44	51
4	San Jose Earthquakes	31	13	9	9	52	45	48
5	Houston Dynamo	31	13	9	9	41	39	48
6	Los Angeles FC	31	12	10	9	48	33	46
7	Seattle Sounders	31	11	10	10	41	39	43
8	Colorado Rapids	31	12	6	13	42	41	42
9	LA Galaxy	31	10	10	11	43	52	40
10	Real Salt Lake	31	11	6	14	48	48	39
11	Portland Timbers	31	10	7	14	54	58	37
12	San Diego FC	31	8	11	12	55	58	35
13	Minnesota United	31	8	11	12	47	55	35
14	Austin FC	31	8	10	13	40	57	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	31	6	4	21	37	77	22

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	St. Louis City SC	Portland Timbers
Minnesota United	2-3 L	5-4 W
LA Galaxy	6-2 W	0-2 L
FC Dallas	3-3 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: St. Louis City SC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St. Louis City SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-1	0-3	0	5	L
17/10	Minnesota United USA MLS	2-0	2-3	7	4	L
15/10	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
12/10	LA Galaxy USA MLS	5-1	6-2	2	4	W
01/10	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
20/09	Toronto FC USA MLS	1-0	3-1	8	4	W
13/09	Minnesota United USA MLS	3-1	4-2	6	3	W
10/09	Portland Timbers USA MLS	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
06/09	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	3-1	3-1	2	7	W
31/08	FC Dallas USA MLS	2-1	3-3	5	3	D

Portland Timbers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Charlotte FC USA MLS	2-1	3-2	9	2	W
18/10	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
15/10	LA Galaxy USA MLS	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
11/10	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	2-1	3-3	1	1	D
27/09	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	0-3	1-3	9	3	L
20/09	Atlanta United USA MLS	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
13/09	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
10/09	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
06/09	Minnesota United USA MLS	3-2	5-4	4	4	W
30/08	Austin FC USA MLS	0-1	1-2	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St. Louis City SC vs Portland Timbers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a St. Louis City SC win (57%). Probabilities: St. Louis City SC 57%, draw 21%, Portland Timbers 22%.

How many goals are expected in St. Louis City SC vs Portland Timbers?

The model expects 3.77 goals (St. Louis City SC 2.35 · Portland Timbers 1.42), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in St. Louis City SC vs Portland Timbers?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.