Football · USA MLS · 29/10, 00:30

Prediction: New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls

Team pages: New England Revolution · New York Red Bulls

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

New England Revolution1.75

New York Red Bulls1.17

1X2

50% 26% 24%

New England Revolution Draw New York Red Bulls

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

New England Revolution 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWLLWW

New York Red Bulls 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLWWLWLL

Head-to-head

New England Revolution 2–4 New York Red Bulls (6 last)

New York Red Bulls1-0New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls5-3New England Revolution
New England Revolution2-1New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution1-0New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls4-2New England Revolution
New England Revolution0-3New York Red Bulls

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours New York Red Bulls: 4-0-2.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	New England Revolution	New York Red Bulls
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.2	2.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.99

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 06:23

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.88 → 2.00▲	Pinn 2.00
X	4.17 → 4.13▼	Pinn 4.13
2	3.41 → 3.25▼	Pinn 3.25

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:43 +46’	1.88	4.17	3.41
02:45 +100’	1.90▲	4.23▲	3.45▲
05:52 +31’	2.00▲	4.13▼	3.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · New England Revolution 2–0–4 New York Red Bulls

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 USA MLS	New York Red Bulls	1-0 HT 0-0	New England Revolution
17/07/25 USA MLS	New York Red Bulls	5-3 HT 0-2	New England Revolution
29/03/25 USA MLS	New England Revolution	2-1 HT 1-1	New York Red Bulls
09/06/24 USA MLS	New England Revolution	1-0 HT 0-0	New York Red Bulls
12/05/24 USA MLS	New York Red Bulls	4-2 HT 2-1	New England Revolution
24/01/24 America Friendlies	New England Revolution	0-3	New York Red Bulls

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	31	21	7	3	66	23	70
2	New England Revolution	31	17	4	10	51	42	55
3	Inter Miami CF	31	15	10	6	73	53	55
4	Chicago Fire	31	15	6	10	55	46	51
5	Charlotte FC	31	13	8	10	55	48	47
6	Philadelphia Union	31	13	7	11	62	50	46
7	Orlando City SC	31	12	6	13	60	72	42
8	FC Cincinnati	31	11	9	11	64	71	42
9	New York Red Bulls	31	11	6	14	41	56	39
10	Columbus Crew	31	11	5	15	50	49	38
11	Toronto FC	31	8	12	11	48	59	36
12	New York City FC	31	8	11	12	45	43	35
13	DC United	31	7	12	12	38	55	33
14	Atlanta United	31	8	6	17	39	54	30
15	CF Montreal	31	6	7	18	36	62	25

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	New England Revolution	New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire	1-0 W	1-1 D
Seattle Sounders	0-3 L	0-0 D
New York City FC	2-1 W	1-0 W
Columbus Crew	3-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: New England Revolution (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

New England Revolution

DWLWWWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Chicago Fire USA MLS	1-0	1-0	0	2	W
15/10	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	2-1	3-2	5	4	W
11/10	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	0-1	0-3	8	3	L
27/09	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-1	0-3	11	4	L
20/09	Orlando City SC USA MLS	1-0	4-2	10	4	W
13/09	Chicago Fire USA MLS	1-0	2-1	0	4	W
10/09	New York City FC USA MLS	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
06/09	LA Galaxy USA MLS	0-2	1-2	3	5	L
30/08	Columbus Crew USA MLS	2-1	3-1	5	2	W
23/08	New York City FC USA MLS	1-1	1-1	6	2	D

New York Red Bulls

DLDLWWLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Toronto FC USA MLS	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
15/10	DC United USA MLS	0-2	1-2	11	6	L
11/10	San Diego FC USA MLS	3-0	4-1	4	5	W
01/10	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
19/09	New York City FC USA MLS	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
13/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
10/09	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
06/09	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
30/08	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
23/08	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-1	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?

According to our model, the most likely result is a New England Revolution win (50%). Probabilities: New England Revolution 50%, draw 26%, New York Red Bulls 24%.

How many goals are expected in New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?

The model expects 2.92 goals (New England Revolution 1.75 · New York Red Bulls 1.17), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.