Football · USA MLS · 29/10, 01:30

Prediction: Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC

Team pages: Chicago Fire · Orlando City SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.97Total

Chicago Fire2.18

Orlando City SC1.79

1X2

46% 22% 32%

Chicago Fire Draw Orlando City SC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Chicago Fire 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLWWWLLW

Orlando City SC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWLLWDWD

Head-to-head

Chicago Fire 3–2–1 Orlando City SC (6 last)

Orlando City SC1-2Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire3-1Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC1-3Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire0-0Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC4-2Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire1-1Orlando City SC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Chicago Fire: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chicago Fire	Orlando City SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	2.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.9	1.4 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 12:42

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.68▲	Pinn 1.68
X	4.59 → 4.71▲	Pinn 4.71
2	4.37 → 4.07▼	Pinn 4.07

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:42 +48’	1.61	4.59	4.37
02:44 +101’	1.63▲	4.66▲	4.44▲
11:25 +77’	1.68▲	4.71▲	4.07▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chicago Fire 3–2–1 Orlando City SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/08/26 USA MLS	Orlando City SC	1-2 HT 0-1	Chicago Fire
23/10/25 USA MLS Play-Offs	Chicago Fire	3-1 HT 0-0	Orlando City SC
01/06/25 USA MLS	Orlando City SC	1-3 HT 1-3	Chicago Fire
04/05/25 USA MLS	Chicago Fire	0-0 HT 0-0	Orlando City SC
23/06/24 USA MLS	Orlando City SC	4-2 HT 3-0	Chicago Fire
30/05/24 USA MLS	Chicago Fire	1-1 HT 0-1	Orlando City SC

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	31	21	7	3	66	23	70
2	New England Revolution	31	17	4	10	51	42	55
3	Inter Miami CF	31	15	10	6	73	53	55
4	Chicago Fire	31	15	6	10	55	46	51
5	Charlotte FC	31	13	8	10	55	48	47
6	Philadelphia Union	31	13	7	11	62	50	46
7	Orlando City SC	31	12	6	13	60	72	42
8	FC Cincinnati	31	11	9	11	64	71	42
9	New York Red Bulls	31	11	6	14	41	56	39
10	Columbus Crew	31	11	5	15	50	49	38
11	Toronto FC	31	8	12	11	48	59	36
12	New York City FC	31	8	11	12	45	43	35
13	DC United	31	7	12	12	38	55	33
14	Atlanta United	31	8	6	17	39	54	30
15	CF Montreal	31	6	7	18	36	62	25

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chicago Fire	Orlando City SC
Atlanta United	3-2 W	3-2 W
New England Revolution	0-1 L	2-4 L
Philadelphia Union	1-3 L	2-4 L
New York City FC	2-1 W	2-2 D
Toronto FC	4-4 D	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Chicago Fire (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chicago Fire

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Atlanta United USA MLS	1-1	3-2	5	7	W
18/10	New England Revolution USA MLS	0-1	0-1	10	2	L
15/10	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	1-0	1-3	2	6	L
10/10	New York City FC USA MLS	0-1	2-1	4	4	W
07/10	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
27/09	Charlotte FC USA MLS	0-0	1-0	6	8	W
20/09	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
13/09	New England Revolution USA MLS	0-1	1-2	13	4	L
10/09	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
06/09	Toronto FC USA MLS	1-2	4-4	3	4	D

Orlando City SC

DWWWLLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	New York City FC USA MLS	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
18/10	DC United USA MLS	2-1	4-1	1	4	W
15/10	Toronto FC USA MLS	1-1	3-3	5	4	D
11/10	Columbus Crew USA MLS	2-1	3-2	2	5	W
27/09	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-2	2-4	7	6	L
20/09	New England Revolution USA MLS	0-1	2-4	3	4	L
13/09	Toronto FC USA MLS	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
10/09	Atlanta United USA MLS	1-1	3-2	5	3	W
06/09	San Diego FC USA MLS	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
30/08	Minnesota United USA MLS	1-0	3-3	1	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chicago Fire win (46%). Probabilities: Chicago Fire 46%, draw 22%, Orlando City SC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?

The model expects 3.97 goals (Chicago Fire 2.18 · Orlando City SC 1.79), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.